UPDATE: 2023-12-26 23:06:56.666156

はじめに

このノートは「StanとRでベイズ統計モデリング」の内容を写経することで、ベイズ統計への理解を深めていくために作成している。

基本的には気になった部分を写経しながら、ところどころ自分用の補足をメモすることで、「StanとRでベイズ統計モデリング」を読み進めるための自分用の補足資料になることを目指す。私の解釈がおかしく、メモが誤っている場合があるので注意。

今回は第8章「階層モデル」のチャプターを写経していく。非線形モデルのところから。

8.3 非線形モデルの階層モデル

7.3節のモデルを16人に拡張して階層モデルを適用する。

options(max.print = 999999)
library(dplyr)
library(ggplot2)
library(rstan)

d <- read.csv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/MatsuuraKentaro/RStanBook/master/chap08/input/data-conc-2.txt')
N <- nrow(d)
Time <- c(1, 2, 4, 8, 12, 24)
T_new <- 60
Time_new <- seq(from = 0, to = 24, length = T_new)
data <- list(N = N, T = length(Time), Time = Time, Y = d[,-1],
             T_new = T_new, Time_new = Time_new)

head(d, 10)
##    PersonID Time1 Time2 Time4 Time8 Time12 Time24
## 1         1   2.4   5.0   7.5  11.9   12.5   12.7
## 2         2   1.4   3.9   4.4   7.7    6.4    8.3
## 3         3   5.2   9.4  19.4  20.2   22.7   24.9
## 4         4   6.7  12.6  19.1  23.4   25.8   26.1
## 5         5   0.3   4.7   7.0  10.2   12.9   14.8
## 6         6   6.3   3.8  11.8   9.2   13.9   18.2
## 7         7   3.0   4.2   8.8  15.4   10.7   16.2
## 8         8   6.2   6.8   9.4  11.3   12.4   14.7
## 9         9  14.4  17.0  22.7  29.8   33.0   32.2
## 10       10   7.7  10.0  14.8  15.3   18.0   18.7

8.3.1 解析の目的とデータの分布の確認

各個人において、頭打ちになる\(Y\)の値と、頭打ちになるまでの時間を知りたい。また個人差のばらつきも分析したいとする。各個人のデータを可視化すると、頭打ちになるものの、個人ごとに上限が異なることがわかる。

d %>% 
  tidyr::pivot_longer(cols = -PersonID, values_to = 'Y') %>% 
  mutate(Time = readr::parse_number(name)) %>% 
  select(-name) %>% 
  ggplot(data = ., aes(x = Time, y = Y)) +
  theme_bw(base_size = 15) +
  facet_wrap(~PersonID) +
  geom_line(linewidth = 1) +
  geom_point(size = 3) +
  labs(x = 'Time (hour)', y = 'Y') +
  scale_x_continuous(breaks = c(0,6,12,24), limit = c(0,24)) +
  scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(0,40,10), limit = c(-3,37))

最終時点ごとの\(Y\)の値も個人によって異なる。

d_last <- d[ncol(d)]

bw <- 3.0
ggplot(data = d_last, aes(x = Time24)) +
  theme_bw(base_size = 15) +
  geom_histogram(binwidth = bw, color = 'black', fill = 'white') +
  geom_density(aes(y = after_stat(count)*bw), alpha = 0.2, color = 'black', fill = 'gray20') +
  geom_rug(sides = 'b') +
  labs(x = 'Time24', y = 'count') +
  xlim(range(density(d_last$Time24)$x))

8.3.2 メカニズムの想像

ここではa[n],b[n]が特定の分布に従うと仮定して、階層モデルを適用する。a[n],b[n]は正の値をとることを考慮し、対数をとったlog(a)[n],log(b)[n]が正規分布に従うと仮定する。考えるだけで、logはとってないので注意。

8.3.3 モデル式の記述

ここで想定しているモデルは下記の通り。

モデル8-7

\[ \begin{eqnarray} Y[n,t] &\sim& Normal(a[n]\{1 -\exp(-b[n] Time[t]) \}, \sigma_{Y}) \\ log(a[n]) &\sim& Normal(a_{全体平均}, \sigma_{a}) \\ log(b[n]) &\sim& Normal(b_{全体平均}, \sigma_{b}) \end{eqnarray} \]

データから\(\sigma_{Y}, a[n], a_{全体平均}, \sigma_{a}, b[n], b_{全体平均}, \sigma_{b}\)を推定する。

8.3.4 Stanで実装

Stanファイルは下記の通り。

data {
  int N;
  int T;
  real Time[T];
  real Y[N,T];
  int T_new;
  real Time_new[T_new];
}

parameters {
  real a0;
  real b0;
  real log_a[N];
  real log_b[N];
  real<lower=0> s_a;
  real<lower=0> s_b;
  real<lower=0> s_Y;
}

transformed parameters {
  real a[N];
  real b[N];
  for (n in 1:N) {
  // expは、logはとってないが想定する値がマイナスにならないようにする.
  // `a[n],b[n]`は正の値をとることを考慮
    a[n] = exp(log_a[n]);
    b[n] = exp(log_b[n]);
  }
}

model {
  for (n in 1:N) {
    // logはとってない、対数をとったものが正規分布に従うと考える
    log_a[n] ~ normal(a0, s_a);
    log_b[n] ~ normal(b0, s_b); 
  }
  for (n in 1:N)
    for (t in 1:T)
      Y[n,t] ~ normal(a[n]*(1 - exp(-b[n]*Time[t])), s_Y);
}

generated quantities {
  real y_new[N,T_new];
  for (n in 1:N)
    for (t in 1:T_new)
      y_new[n,t] = normal_rng(a[n]*(1 - exp(-b[n]*Time_new[t])), s_Y);
}

ここでは、stan_model()関数で最初にコンパイルしておいてから、

model87 <- stan_model('note_ahirubayes09-87.stan')

sampling()関数でサンプリングする。

fit <- sampling(object = model87, data = data, seed = 1989)

パラメタの推定結果はこちら。\(\sigma_{Y}\)以外は対数スケールとなっている。少し混乱するが、a[1],b[1]は通常スケールでexpで変換する前のa0,b0が対数スケールということ(対数変換したものが正規分布に従うと考えている)。

print(fit, prob = c(0.025, 0.5, 0.975), digits_summary = 1)
## Inference for Stan model: anon_model.
## 4 chains, each with iter=2000; warmup=1000; thin=1; 
## post-warmup draws per chain=1000, total post-warmup draws=4000.
## 
##               mean se_mean  sd  2.5%   50% 97.5% n_eff Rhat
## a0             2.9     0.0 0.1   2.6   2.9   3.1  4986    1
## b0            -1.2     0.0 0.1  -1.4  -1.2  -0.9  3387    1
## log_a[1]       2.6     0.0 0.1   2.4   2.6   2.8  4154    1
## log_a[2]       2.1     0.0 0.1   1.8   2.1   2.4  4509    1
## log_a[3]       3.2     0.0 0.1   3.1   3.2   3.3  5360    1
## log_a[4]       3.3     0.0 0.0   3.2   3.3   3.3  4168    1
## log_a[5]       2.6     0.0 0.1   2.4   2.6   2.9  3789    1
## log_a[6]       2.7     0.0 0.1   2.6   2.7   2.9  3439    1
## log_a[7]       2.7     0.0 0.1   2.5   2.7   2.9  5375    1
## log_a[8]       2.6     0.0 0.1   2.4   2.6   2.8  4394    1
## log_a[9]       3.5     0.0 0.0   3.4   3.5   3.5  5042    1
## log_a[10]      2.9     0.0 0.1   2.8   2.9   3.0  5028    1
## log_a[11]      3.0     0.0 0.1   2.9   3.0   3.1  5627    1
## log_a[12]      2.8     0.0 0.1   2.7   2.8   2.9  4754    1
## log_a[13]      2.4     0.0 0.1   2.2   2.4   2.7  4070    1
## log_a[14]      3.2     0.0 0.1   3.1   3.2   3.3  4718    1
## log_a[15]      2.8     0.0 0.1   2.7   2.8   2.9  5345    1
## log_a[16]      3.5     0.0 0.0   3.4   3.5   3.5  5109    1
## log_b[1]      -1.4     0.0 0.2  -1.9  -1.4  -0.9  3756    1
## log_b[2]      -1.4     0.0 0.3  -2.1  -1.3  -0.7  3831    1
## log_b[3]      -1.2     0.0 0.2  -1.5  -1.2  -0.9  5122    1
## log_b[4]      -1.1     0.0 0.1  -1.4  -1.1  -0.9  4526    1
## log_b[5]      -1.6     0.0 0.3  -2.2  -1.6  -1.1  2992    1
## log_b[6]      -1.4     0.0 0.3  -2.0  -1.4  -0.9  3293    1
## log_b[7]      -1.4     0.0 0.2  -1.9  -1.4  -1.0  3942    1
## log_b[8]      -1.1     0.0 0.3  -1.6  -1.1  -0.5  5038    1
## log_b[9]      -0.9     0.0 0.1  -1.2  -0.9  -0.7  4715    1
## log_b[10]     -0.9     0.0 0.2  -1.3  -0.9  -0.5  4343    1
## log_b[11]     -1.0     0.0 0.2  -1.4  -1.0  -0.6  4759    1
## log_b[12]     -0.7     0.0 0.2  -1.1  -0.7  -0.2  4411    1
## log_b[13]     -1.5     0.0 0.3  -2.1  -1.5  -0.9  3733    1
## log_b[14]     -1.4     0.0 0.2  -1.7  -1.4  -1.1  4292    1
## log_b[15]     -1.2     0.0 0.2  -1.5  -1.2  -0.8  5784    1
## log_b[16]     -0.7     0.0 0.1  -0.9  -0.7  -0.4  4909    1
## s_a            0.4     0.0 0.1   0.3   0.4   0.6  4460    1
## s_b            0.4     0.0 0.1   0.2   0.4   0.7  1724    1
## s_Y            1.7     0.0 0.2   1.4   1.7   2.0  3538    1
## a[1]          13.0     0.0 1.2  10.8  12.9  15.6  4046    1
## a[2]           8.3     0.0 1.2   6.2   8.2  10.9  4315    1
## a[3]          23.9     0.0 1.2  21.6  23.8  26.3  5311    1
## a[4]          25.9     0.0 1.2  23.6  25.9  28.4  4195    1
## a[5]          14.1     0.0 1.6  11.3  14.0  17.5  3762    1
## a[6]          15.7     0.0 1.5  13.0  15.6  18.9  3244    1
## a[7]          14.8     0.0 1.3  12.4  14.8  17.6  5296    1
## a[8]          13.4     0.0 1.1  11.4  13.4  15.8  4347    1
## a[9]          31.9     0.0 1.1  29.7  31.9  34.2  5048    1
## a[10]         17.9     0.0 1.1  15.8  17.9  20.1  4997    1
## a[11]         19.7     0.0 1.1  17.5  19.7  22.0  5563    1
## a[12]         16.3     0.0 1.0  14.4  16.3  18.4  4753    1
## a[13]         11.6     0.0 1.3   9.2  11.5  14.6  3950    1
## a[14]         24.8     0.0 1.3  22.3  24.8  27.5  4730    1
## a[15]         16.7     0.0 1.2  14.5  16.7  19.1  5526    1
## a[16]         31.9     0.0 1.0  29.9  31.9  34.0  5104    1
## b[1]           0.3     0.0 0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4  3982    1
## b[2]           0.3     0.0 0.1   0.1   0.3   0.5  3880    1
## b[3]           0.3     0.0 0.0   0.2   0.3   0.4  5262    1
## b[4]           0.3     0.0 0.0   0.2   0.3   0.4  4383    1
## b[5]           0.2     0.0 0.1   0.1   0.2   0.3  2931    1
## b[6]           0.2     0.0 0.1   0.1   0.2   0.4  3541    1
## b[7]           0.2     0.0 0.1   0.2   0.2   0.4  3944    1
## b[8]           0.4     0.0 0.1   0.2   0.3   0.6  4978    1
## b[9]           0.4     0.0 0.0   0.3   0.4   0.5  4806    1
## b[10]          0.4     0.0 0.1   0.3   0.4   0.6  4236    1
## b[11]          0.4     0.0 0.1   0.3   0.4   0.6  4693    1
## b[12]          0.5     0.0 0.1   0.3   0.5   0.8  4262    1
## b[13]          0.2     0.0 0.1   0.1   0.2   0.4  3849    1
## b[14]          0.3     0.0 0.0   0.2   0.3   0.3  4221    1
## b[15]          0.3     0.0 0.1   0.2   0.3   0.5  5262    1
## b[16]          0.5     0.0 0.1   0.4   0.5   0.6  4866    1
## y_new[1,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.2  4062    1
## y_new[1,2]     1.3     0.0 1.7  -2.2   1.3   4.6  4080    1
## y_new[1,3]     2.4     0.0 1.8  -1.0   2.5   5.9  3938    1
## y_new[1,4]     3.5     0.0 1.8  -0.1   3.5   7.2  4026    1
## y_new[1,5]     4.5     0.0 1.8   1.0   4.5   8.2  3994    1
## y_new[1,6]     5.2     0.0 1.8   1.7   5.2   8.8  3439    1
## y_new[1,7]     6.0     0.0 1.9   2.2   6.0   9.9  3615    1
## y_new[1,8]     6.7     0.0 1.9   2.9   6.7  10.5  4168    1
## y_new[1,9]     7.3     0.0 1.9   3.5   7.3  11.1  3932    1
## y_new[1,10]    7.9     0.0 2.0   4.0   7.8  11.8  4026    1
## y_new[1,11]    8.3     0.0 1.9   4.5   8.3  12.1  4092    1
## y_new[1,12]    8.8     0.0 2.0   5.0   8.8  12.7  4138    1
## y_new[1,13]    9.2     0.0 1.9   5.5   9.2  13.1  4072    1
## y_new[1,14]    9.5     0.0 1.9   5.7   9.5  13.3  4039    1
## y_new[1,15]    9.9     0.0 1.9   6.3   9.8  13.7  4264    1
## y_new[1,16]   10.1     0.0 1.9   6.5  10.1  13.9  4185    1
## y_new[1,17]   10.4     0.0 1.9   6.8  10.4  14.0  4379    1
## y_new[1,18]   10.6     0.0 1.9   6.9  10.6  14.3  4124    1
## y_new[1,19]   10.8     0.0 1.9   7.1  10.9  14.5  4041    1
## y_new[1,20]   11.0     0.0 1.9   7.3  11.0  14.8  3999    1
## y_new[1,21]   11.2     0.0 1.9   7.4  11.2  15.1  4031    1
## y_new[1,22]   11.3     0.0 1.9   7.6  11.4  15.0  4035    1
## y_new[1,23]   11.5     0.0 1.9   7.7  11.5  15.3  4253    1
## y_new[1,24]   11.7     0.0 1.9   7.9  11.7  15.3  3702    1
## y_new[1,25]   11.8     0.0 1.9   8.0  11.8  15.4  3971    1
## y_new[1,26]   11.8     0.0 1.9   8.1  11.8  15.7  4291    1
## y_new[1,27]   12.0     0.0 2.0   8.2  12.0  15.8  4547    1
## y_new[1,28]   12.1     0.0 1.9   8.3  12.1  16.0  3963    1
## y_new[1,29]   12.2     0.0 1.9   8.3  12.2  16.1  4205    1
## y_new[1,30]   12.2     0.0 1.9   8.4  12.2  16.0  4100    1
## y_new[1,31]   12.3     0.0 1.9   8.6  12.3  16.2  4119    1
## y_new[1,32]   12.4     0.0 2.0   8.4  12.4  16.2  4266    1
## y_new[1,33]   12.4     0.0 2.0   8.6  12.4  16.3  4334    1
## y_new[1,34]   12.5     0.0 2.0   8.5  12.5  16.3  4156    1
## y_new[1,35]   12.5     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.6  16.3  4256    1
## y_new[1,36]   12.5     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.5  16.4  3497    1
## y_new[1,37]   12.6     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.6  16.5  4066    1
## y_new[1,38]   12.6     0.0 2.0   8.5  12.6  16.5  4143    1
## y_new[1,39]   12.7     0.0 2.0   8.6  12.6  16.6  4073    1
## y_new[1,40]   12.7     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.7  16.6  4087    1
## y_new[1,41]   12.7     0.0 2.1   8.7  12.7  16.8  4175    1
## y_new[1,42]   12.7     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.7  16.6  4391    1
## y_new[1,43]   12.8     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.8  16.7  3919    1
## y_new[1,44]   12.8     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.7  16.7  4324    1
## y_new[1,45]   12.8     0.0 2.1   8.7  12.8  16.9  4047    1
## y_new[1,46]   12.8     0.0 2.1   8.7  12.8  16.8  4269    1
## y_new[1,47]   12.9     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.9  17.0  4126    1
## y_new[1,48]   12.8     0.0 2.1   8.9  12.8  16.9  4073    1
## y_new[1,49]   12.9     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.8  16.9  3628    1
## y_new[1,50]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.9  17.0  4035    1
## y_new[1,51]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.9  17.1  4295    1
## y_new[1,52]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.9  17.0  4238    1
## y_new[1,53]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.9  12.8  17.1  4343    1
## y_new[1,54]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.9  12.9  17.1  4003    1
## y_new[1,55]   12.9     0.0 2.1   9.0  12.9  17.0  4167    1
## y_new[1,56]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.8  17.1  4229    1
## y_new[1,57]   13.0     0.0 2.1   8.9  13.0  17.1  4151    1
## y_new[1,58]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.9  17.0  4147    1
## y_new[1,59]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.9  12.9  17.0  4033    1
## y_new[1,60]   12.9     0.0 2.1   8.8  12.9  17.2  3980    1
## y_new[2,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.4  4064    1
## y_new[2,2]     0.8     0.0 1.7  -2.7   0.8   4.2  3978    1
## y_new[2,3]     1.6     0.0 1.8  -1.9   1.6   5.1  3829    1
## y_new[2,4]     2.3     0.0 1.8  -1.2   2.3   5.9  4066    1
## y_new[2,5]     2.8     0.0 1.8  -0.7   2.8   6.5  3862    1
## y_new[2,6]     3.4     0.0 1.9  -0.4   3.4   7.2  4006    1
## y_new[2,7]     3.9     0.0 1.9   0.2   3.9   7.7  4051    1
## y_new[2,8]     4.3     0.0 1.9   0.6   4.2   8.1  3629    1
## y_new[2,9]     4.6     0.0 1.9   0.9   4.6   8.3  4184    1
## y_new[2,10]    5.0     0.0 1.9   1.2   5.0   8.7  4165    1
## y_new[2,11]    5.3     0.0 2.0   1.5   5.4   9.3  4284    1
## y_new[2,12]    5.6     0.0 1.9   1.8   5.6   9.3  3624    1
## y_new[2,13]    5.8     0.0 1.9   2.0   5.8   9.6  3632    1
## y_new[2,14]    6.1     0.0 1.9   2.3   6.1   9.8  3696    1
## y_new[2,15]    6.3     0.0 1.9   2.5   6.3  10.0  4007    1
## y_new[2,16]    6.5     0.0 1.9   2.7   6.5  10.3  4230    1
## y_new[2,17]    6.6     0.0 1.9   2.9   6.6  10.5  3719    1
## y_new[2,18]    6.7     0.0 1.9   2.9   6.7  10.6  4386    1
## y_new[2,19]    6.9     0.0 1.9   3.2   6.9  10.7  3793    1
## y_new[2,20]    7.0     0.0 1.9   3.2   7.0  10.9  3723    1
## y_new[2,21]    7.1     0.0 1.9   3.3   7.2  10.8  4009    1
## y_new[2,22]    7.3     0.0 2.0   3.3   7.3  11.3  4259    1
## y_new[2,23]    7.2     0.0 1.9   3.3   7.3  11.0  4140    1
## y_new[2,24]    7.4     0.0 1.9   3.6   7.4  11.1  3960    1
## y_new[2,25]    7.5     0.0 1.9   3.7   7.4  11.3  4049    1
## y_new[2,26]    7.6     0.0 2.0   3.7   7.6  11.4  4087    1
## y_new[2,27]    7.6     0.0 1.9   3.8   7.6  11.4  3755    1
## y_new[2,28]    7.7     0.0 1.9   3.8   7.7  11.3  4383    1
## y_new[2,29]    7.7     0.0 2.0   3.8   7.7  11.5  4412    1
## y_new[2,30]    7.8     0.0 1.9   4.0   7.7  11.5  4189    1
## y_new[2,31]    7.8     0.0 1.9   3.9   7.8  11.5  3526    1
## y_new[2,32]    7.8     0.0 2.0   3.9   7.8  11.7  4128    1
## y_new[2,33]    7.9     0.0 1.9   4.1   7.9  11.7  4106    1
## y_new[2,34]    7.9     0.0 1.9   4.1   7.9  11.7  4236    1
## y_new[2,35]    7.9     0.0 2.0   4.0   7.9  11.8  4285    1
## y_new[2,36]    7.9     0.0 2.0   4.1   7.9  11.8  4166    1
## y_new[2,37]    8.0     0.0 2.0   4.1   8.0  11.8  4001    1
## y_new[2,38]    8.0     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.0  12.0  4187    1
## y_new[2,39]    8.0     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.0  12.0  3497    1
## y_new[2,40]    8.0     0.0 2.0   4.0   8.1  12.0  4535    1
## y_new[2,41]    8.1     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.1  12.0  3916    1
## y_new[2,42]    8.1     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.1  11.9  4192    1
## y_new[2,43]    8.1     0.0 2.0   4.1   8.1  11.9  3861    1
## y_new[2,44]    8.2     0.0 1.9   4.3   8.2  12.0  4119    1
## y_new[2,45]    8.2     0.0 1.9   4.4   8.2  12.0  3986    1
## y_new[2,46]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.4   8.1  12.2  4036    1
## y_new[2,47]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.1  12.2  4097    1
## y_new[2,48]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.1  12.1  4376    1
## y_new[2,49]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.1  12.2  4216    1
## y_new[2,50]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.1  12.2  4268    1
## y_new[2,51]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.1  4344    1
## y_new[2,52]    8.3     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.2  4191    1
## y_new[2,53]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.2   8.2  12.3  4369    1
## y_new[2,54]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.2  4359    1
## y_new[2,55]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.1  4357    1
## y_new[2,56]    8.3     0.0 2.0   4.4   8.2  12.3  4065    1
## y_new[2,57]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.4  4245    1
## y_new[2,58]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.4   8.2  12.2  3984    1
## y_new[2,59]    8.2     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.2  12.3  3817    1
## y_new[2,60]    8.3     0.0 2.1   4.3   8.3  12.5  4173    1
## y_new[3,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.4  4032    1
## y_new[3,2]     2.7     0.0 1.8  -0.7   2.8   6.2  3473    1
## y_new[3,3]     5.2     0.0 1.8   1.6   5.2   8.7  3579    1
## y_new[3,4]     7.4     0.0 1.9   3.8   7.4  11.0  3889    1
## y_new[3,5]     9.2     0.0 1.9   5.6   9.2  13.0  4230    1
## y_new[3,6]    10.9     0.0 2.0   6.9  10.8  14.7  4115    1
## y_new[3,7]    12.4     0.0 2.0   8.6  12.4  16.4  4070    1
## y_new[3,8]    13.6     0.0 2.0   9.7  13.6  17.6  4273    1
## y_new[3,9]    14.8     0.0 2.0  10.9  14.9  18.8  4001    1
## y_new[3,10]   15.8     0.0 2.0  12.0  15.8  19.7  4161    1
## y_new[3,11]   16.7     0.0 2.0  12.9  16.7  20.6  3985    1
## y_new[3,12]   17.5     0.0 2.0  13.6  17.5  21.5  4172    1
## y_new[3,13]   18.3     0.0 2.0  14.3  18.3  22.1  4325    1
## y_new[3,14]   18.9     0.0 1.9  15.0  18.9  22.7  4115    1
## y_new[3,15]   19.4     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.5  23.2  4433    1
## y_new[3,16]   19.9     0.0 2.0  16.0  19.9  23.6  4212    1
## y_new[3,17]   20.4     0.0 1.9  16.5  20.4  24.0  3954    1
## y_new[3,18]   20.8     0.0 1.9  17.0  20.8  24.6  3600    1
## y_new[3,19]   21.1     0.0 1.9  17.3  21.1  24.9  3794    1
## y_new[3,20]   21.4     0.0 1.9  17.7  21.4  25.1  3785    1
## y_new[3,21]   21.7     0.0 1.9  17.9  21.7  25.4  3976    1
## y_new[3,22]   21.9     0.0 1.9  18.2  21.9  25.8  4234    1
## y_new[3,23]   22.1     0.0 1.9  18.3  22.1  25.9  4264    1
## y_new[3,24]   22.3     0.0 1.9  18.4  22.3  26.1  4077    1
## y_new[3,25]   22.5     0.0 1.9  18.7  22.5  26.2  4219    1
## y_new[3,26]   22.6     0.0 1.9  18.7  22.7  26.4  4343    1
## y_new[3,27]   22.8     0.0 2.0  18.9  22.8  26.7  4311    1
## y_new[3,28]   22.9     0.0 2.0  18.9  22.9  26.8  4167    1
## y_new[3,29]   23.0     0.0 2.0  19.0  23.0  26.9  4348    1
## y_new[3,30]   23.1     0.0 2.0  19.2  23.1  27.0  3947    1
## y_new[3,31]   23.1     0.0 2.0  19.2  23.1  27.1  4305    1
## y_new[3,32]   23.3     0.0 2.0  19.4  23.3  27.1  4408    1
## y_new[3,33]   23.3     0.0 2.0  19.4  23.4  27.2  4571    1
## y_new[3,34]   23.3     0.0 2.1  19.2  23.3  27.4  3964    1
## y_new[3,35]   23.5     0.0 2.0  19.5  23.4  27.4  4068    1
## y_new[3,36]   23.4     0.0 2.0  19.4  23.4  27.3  4126    1
## y_new[3,37]   23.5     0.0 2.0  19.4  23.5  27.5  4439    1
## y_new[3,38]   23.5     0.0 2.1  19.5  23.5  27.4  4437    1
## y_new[3,39]   23.6     0.0 2.0  19.6  23.6  27.6  3356    1
## y_new[3,40]   23.6     0.0 2.0  19.6  23.6  27.7  4096    1
## y_new[3,41]   23.6     0.0 2.0  19.6  23.7  27.6  4169    1
## y_new[3,42]   23.6     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.6  27.8  4169    1
## y_new[3,43]   23.7     0.0 2.0  19.7  23.7  27.7  4341    1
## y_new[3,44]   23.7     0.0 2.0  19.7  23.7  27.6  4151    1
## y_new[3,45]   23.7     0.0 2.0  19.8  23.7  27.8  4335    1
## y_new[3,46]   23.7     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.7  27.7  4185    1
## y_new[3,47]   23.7     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.7  27.8  4486    1
## y_new[3,48]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.6  23.8  27.9  4178    1
## y_new[3,49]   23.8     0.0 2.0  19.9  23.7  27.8  4319    1
## y_new[3,50]   23.7     0.0 2.1  19.6  23.7  27.8  4453    1
## y_new[3,51]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.8  23.8  27.9  4214    1
## y_new[3,52]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.8  27.8  4200    1
## y_new[3,53]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.8  27.9  4135    1
## y_new[3,54]   23.8     0.0 2.0  19.7  23.8  27.7  4596    1
## y_new[3,55]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.8  28.0  4142    1
## y_new[3,56]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.7  27.9  4370    1
## y_new[3,57]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.6  23.8  27.9  4399    1
## y_new[3,58]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.8  23.8  27.8  3695    1
## y_new[3,59]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.8  23.8  27.9  3949    1
## y_new[3,60]   23.8     0.0 2.1  19.7  23.9  27.9  4226    1
## y_new[4,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3   0.0   3.3  3891    1
## y_new[4,2]     3.2     0.0 1.7  -0.2   3.2   6.7  3914    1
## y_new[4,3]     6.1     0.0 1.8   2.5   6.1   9.6  3690    1
## y_new[4,4]     8.5     0.0 1.9   4.8   8.5  12.2  4112    1
## y_new[4,5]    10.6     0.0 2.0   6.7  10.6  14.4  3845    1
## y_new[4,6]    12.5     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.5  16.4  4285    1
## y_new[4,7]    14.1     0.0 2.0  10.3  14.1  18.1  4145    1
## y_new[4,8]    15.6     0.0 2.0  11.8  15.6  19.6  4116    1
## y_new[4,9]    16.8     0.0 2.0  12.9  16.8  20.6  4441    1
## y_new[4,10]   17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  18.0  21.9  4199    1
## y_new[4,11]   18.9     0.0 1.9  15.1  18.9  22.7  4139    1
## y_new[4,12]   19.7     0.0 2.0  15.8  19.7  23.6  3954    1
## y_new[4,13]   20.5     0.0 1.9  16.7  20.5  24.3  3920    1
## y_new[4,14]   21.1     0.0 1.9  17.3  21.1  24.9  4126    1
## y_new[4,15]   21.7     0.0 1.9  18.0  21.7  25.6  4243    1
## y_new[4,16]   22.2     0.0 1.9  18.5  22.2  26.1  4073    1
## y_new[4,17]   22.6     0.0 1.9  18.8  22.6  26.3  3951    1
## y_new[4,18]   23.1     0.0 1.9  19.4  23.0  26.8  4200    1
## y_new[4,19]   23.4     0.0 2.0  19.5  23.4  27.3  4193    1
## y_new[4,20]   23.7     0.0 1.9  20.0  23.7  27.4  3789    1
## y_new[4,21]   23.9     0.0 1.9  20.2  24.0  27.6  4068    1
## y_new[4,22]   24.2     0.0 1.9  20.4  24.2  27.8  4304    1
## y_new[4,23]   24.4     0.0 1.9  20.7  24.4  28.1  4322    1
## y_new[4,24]   24.6     0.0 1.9  20.8  24.6  28.3  3998    1
## y_new[4,25]   24.7     0.0 1.9  20.9  24.7  28.5  4037    1
## y_new[4,26]   24.9     0.0 1.9  21.1  24.9  28.7  4066    1
## y_new[4,27]   25.0     0.0 2.0  21.2  25.0  28.9  3494    1
## y_new[4,28]   25.1     0.0 2.0  21.2  25.1  29.1  4164    1
## y_new[4,29]   25.2     0.0 2.0  21.2  25.2  29.0  3594    1
## y_new[4,30]   25.3     0.0 2.0  21.2  25.3  29.2  4189    1
## y_new[4,31]   25.3     0.0 2.0  21.2  25.3  29.2  4013    1
## y_new[4,32]   25.4     0.0 2.0  21.6  25.4  29.2  4040    1
## y_new[4,33]   25.5     0.0 2.0  21.6  25.5  29.4  3991    1
## y_new[4,34]   25.5     0.0 2.0  21.5  25.5  29.5  4051    1
## y_new[4,35]   25.6     0.0 2.0  21.6  25.5  29.5  4046    1
## y_new[4,36]   25.5     0.0 2.1  21.3  25.5  29.5  3818    1
## y_new[4,37]   25.6     0.0 2.1  21.6  25.6  29.6  3618    1
## y_new[4,38]   25.7     0.0 2.0  21.7  25.6  29.8  3988    1
## y_new[4,39]   25.6     0.0 2.0  21.6  25.7  29.6  4196    1
## y_new[4,40]   25.7     0.0 2.1  21.6  25.7  29.9  3993    1
## y_new[4,41]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.8  29.7  4070    1
## y_new[4,42]   25.7     0.0 2.0  21.7  25.7  29.7  4217    1
## y_new[4,43]   25.8     0.0 2.0  21.8  25.8  29.7  4224    1
## y_new[4,44]   25.8     0.0 2.0  21.9  25.8  29.8  4416    1
## y_new[4,45]   25.8     0.0 2.0  21.9  25.8  29.9  4072    1
## y_new[4,46]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.7  30.0  3647    1
## y_new[4,47]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.8  30.0  4045    1
## y_new[4,48]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.9  30.0  3753    1
## y_new[4,49]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.8  29.8  3933    1
## y_new[4,50]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.9  29.9  4443    1
## y_new[4,51]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.9  25.8  29.8  3981    1
## y_new[4,52]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.6  25.8  30.0  4206    1
## y_new[4,53]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.8  29.9  3584    1
## y_new[4,54]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.8  29.8  4534    1
## y_new[4,55]   25.8     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.9  29.9  4266    1
## y_new[4,56]   25.9     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.9  30.0  4126    1
## y_new[4,57]   25.9     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.8  30.1  4193    1
## y_new[4,58]   25.9     0.0 2.1  21.8  25.9  30.0  3898    1
## y_new[4,59]   25.9     0.0 2.1  21.9  25.9  29.8  3995    1
## y_new[4,60]   25.9     0.0 2.1  21.7  25.9  30.2  4002    1
## y_new[5,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3   0.0   3.3  4163    1
## y_new[5,2]     1.1     0.0 1.7  -2.1   1.1   4.6  4026    1
## y_new[5,3]     2.1     0.0 1.8  -1.4   2.1   5.6  4009    1
## y_new[5,4]     3.0     0.0 1.8  -0.4   3.0   6.6  3312    1
## y_new[5,5]     3.8     0.0 1.8   0.2   3.9   7.5  3935    1
## y_new[5,6]     4.6     0.0 1.9   0.9   4.6   8.4  4055    1
## y_new[5,7]     5.4     0.0 1.9   1.8   5.3   9.0  4006    1
## y_new[5,8]     6.0     0.0 1.9   2.3   6.0   9.8  3672    1
## y_new[5,9]     6.6     0.0 2.0   2.8   6.6  10.5  3952    1
## y_new[5,10]    7.2     0.0 2.0   3.3   7.2  11.1  3799    1
## y_new[5,11]    7.7     0.0 1.9   3.8   7.7  11.6  3750    1
## y_new[5,12]    8.1     0.0 2.0   4.3   8.0  12.0  4049    1
## y_new[5,13]    8.6     0.0 2.0   4.7   8.6  12.5  3873    1
## y_new[5,14]    9.0     0.0 2.0   5.2   8.9  12.9  3994    1
## y_new[5,15]    9.3     0.0 2.0   5.5   9.3  13.1  3952    1
## y_new[5,16]    9.7     0.0 2.0   5.9   9.7  13.7  3873    1
## y_new[5,17]   10.0     0.0 1.9   6.2  10.0  13.9  3775    1
## y_new[5,18]   10.3     0.0 1.9   6.4  10.2  13.9  3925    1
## y_new[5,19]   10.6     0.0 2.0   6.7  10.6  14.4  4011    1
## y_new[5,20]   10.7     0.0 1.9   6.9  10.7  14.6  4083    1
## y_new[5,21]   10.9     0.0 1.9   7.2  10.9  14.7  3971    1
## y_new[5,22]   11.2     0.0 1.9   7.5  11.2  15.0  4269    1
## y_new[5,23]   11.4     0.0 1.9   7.6  11.4  15.2  4076    1
## y_new[5,24]   11.6     0.0 2.0   7.7  11.5  15.4  3915    1
## y_new[5,25]   11.8     0.0 2.0   7.8  11.8  15.6  3702    1
## y_new[5,26]   11.9     0.0 1.9   8.0  11.9  15.7  4125    1
## y_new[5,27]   12.1     0.0 1.9   8.4  12.1  16.0  4041    1
## y_new[5,28]   12.2     0.0 1.9   8.3  12.3  16.1  4235    1
## y_new[5,29]   12.4     0.0 1.9   8.5  12.4  16.1  4333    1
## y_new[5,30]   12.5     0.0 2.0   8.7  12.5  16.4  3922    1
## y_new[5,31]   12.5     0.0 2.0   8.6  12.5  16.3  4076    1
## y_new[5,32]   12.7     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.7  16.6  3765    1
## y_new[5,33]   12.8     0.0 1.9   8.9  12.8  16.6  4109    1
## y_new[5,34]   12.9     0.0 2.0   9.0  12.9  16.8  4032    1
## y_new[5,35]   12.9     0.0 2.0   8.9  12.9  16.9  4203    1
## y_new[5,36]   13.0     0.0 2.0   9.0  13.0  16.9  4294    1
## y_new[5,37]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.0  13.1  17.0  4122    1
## y_new[5,38]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.1  13.1  17.1  3870    1
## y_new[5,39]   13.2     0.0 2.0   9.1  13.2  17.1  4231    1
## y_new[5,40]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.3  17.2  3965    1
## y_new[5,41]   13.3     0.0 2.1   9.3  13.3  17.3  4297    1
## y_new[5,42]   13.3     0.0 2.1   9.1  13.3  17.3  3859    1
## y_new[5,43]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.5  13.4  17.4  3870    1
## y_new[5,44]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.4  17.6  4390    1
## y_new[5,45]   13.5     0.0 2.0   9.6  13.5  17.4  4088    1
## y_new[5,46]   13.5     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.5  17.7  4061    1
## y_new[5,47]   13.6     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.6  17.6  4511    1
## y_new[5,48]   13.6     0.0 2.1   9.6  13.6  17.6  4227    1
## y_new[5,49]   13.7     0.0 2.1   9.7  13.7  17.8  4006    1
## y_new[5,50]   13.7     0.0 2.1   9.5  13.7  17.8  3886    1
## y_new[5,51]   13.7     0.0 2.2   9.4  13.7  18.0  4588    1
## y_new[5,52]   13.7     0.0 2.1   9.6  13.8  17.9  4116    1
## y_new[5,53]   13.7     0.0 2.2   9.6  13.7  18.0  3944    1
## y_new[5,54]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.5  13.8  17.9  4086    1
## y_new[5,55]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.6  13.8  18.1  3912    1
## y_new[5,56]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.6  13.8  17.9  4186    1
## y_new[5,57]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.5  13.8  18.0  4464    1
## y_new[5,58]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.6  13.8  18.2  3932    1
## y_new[5,59]   13.9     0.0 2.2   9.6  13.8  18.1  4303    1
## y_new[5,60]   13.8     0.0 2.2   9.7  13.8  18.1  3109    1
## y_new[6,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.5  3593    1
## y_new[6,2]     1.5     0.0 1.7  -1.8   1.4   4.9  3870    1
## y_new[6,3]     2.8     0.0 1.8  -0.8   2.8   6.2  3844    1
## y_new[6,4]     3.9     0.0 1.8   0.3   3.9   7.5  4065    1
## y_new[6,5]     5.0     0.0 1.9   1.3   5.0   8.7  4231    1
## y_new[6,6]     6.0     0.0 1.9   2.1   6.0   9.9  3647    1
## y_new[6,7]     6.8     0.0 2.0   3.0   6.8  10.6  4000    1
## y_new[6,8]     7.6     0.0 2.0   3.8   7.6  11.8  3447    1
## y_new[6,9]     8.4     0.0 2.0   4.4   8.4  12.3  3479    1
## y_new[6,10]    8.9     0.0 2.0   4.9   8.9  13.0  3869    1
## y_new[6,11]    9.6     0.0 2.0   5.6   9.5  13.6  3911    1
## y_new[6,12]   10.0     0.0 2.0   6.0  10.0  14.0  3987    1
## y_new[6,13]   10.5     0.0 2.0   6.6  10.5  14.5  4149    1
## y_new[6,14]   11.0     0.0 2.0   7.1  11.0  15.0  4170    1
## y_new[6,15]   11.3     0.0 2.0   7.3  11.4  15.2  4113    1
## y_new[6,16]   11.7     0.0 1.9   7.9  11.7  15.5  4418    1
## y_new[6,17]   12.0     0.0 2.0   8.1  12.0  15.9  3606    1
## y_new[6,18]   12.4     0.0 2.0   8.5  12.4  16.2  3376    1
## y_new[6,19]   12.7     0.0 1.9   8.9  12.6  16.4  3955    1
## y_new[6,20]   12.8     0.0 1.9   9.0  12.9  16.7  4147    1
## y_new[6,21]   13.1     0.0 1.9   9.4  13.1  16.9  3978    1
## y_new[6,22]   13.3     0.0 1.9   9.5  13.3  17.1  3732    1
## y_new[6,23]   13.4     0.0 1.9   9.7  13.5  17.2  3767    1
## y_new[6,24]   13.7     0.0 1.9   9.9  13.7  17.5  3774    1
## y_new[6,25]   13.8     0.0 1.9  10.0  13.8  17.7  3825    1
## y_new[6,26]   13.9     0.0 2.0   9.9  14.0  17.7  4001    1
## y_new[6,27]   14.1     0.0 1.9  10.2  14.1  18.0  4061    1
## y_new[6,28]   14.2     0.0 2.0  10.4  14.2  18.1  4014    1
## y_new[6,29]   14.3     0.0 1.9  10.6  14.3  18.2  4298    1
## y_new[6,30]   14.4     0.0 2.0  10.5  14.5  18.2  4189    1
## y_new[6,31]   14.5     0.0 2.0  10.6  14.5  18.4  3899    1
## y_new[6,32]   14.6     0.0 2.0  10.7  14.6  18.4  4355    1
## y_new[6,33]   14.7     0.0 2.0  10.9  14.7  18.6  4003    1
## y_new[6,34]   14.8     0.0 2.0  10.8  14.7  18.8  3972    1
## y_new[6,35]   14.8     0.0 2.0  10.9  14.9  18.7  3895    1
## y_new[6,36]   14.9     0.0 2.0  11.0  14.8  18.7  3864    1
## y_new[6,37]   14.9     0.0 2.0  11.0  14.9  18.9  4096    1
## y_new[6,38]   15.0     0.0 2.0  11.0  15.1  18.8  4140    1
## y_new[6,39]   15.1     0.0 2.0  11.1  15.1  19.0  3848    1
## y_new[6,40]   15.1     0.0 2.1  11.1  15.1  19.1  3994    1
## y_new[6,41]   15.1     0.0 2.0  11.1  15.1  19.1  4073    1
## y_new[6,42]   15.1     0.0 2.1  11.1  15.1  19.2  4196    1
## y_new[6,43]   15.2     0.0 2.1  11.2  15.2  19.2  3525    1
## y_new[6,44]   15.2     0.0 2.1  11.1  15.2  19.4  3264    1
## y_new[6,45]   15.3     0.0 2.1  11.1  15.3  19.4  4186    1
## y_new[6,46]   15.3     0.0 2.1  11.3  15.3  19.5  3133    1
## y_new[6,47]   15.3     0.0 2.2  11.0  15.3  19.5  4330    1
## y_new[6,48]   15.4     0.0 2.1  11.2  15.4  19.7  3956    1
## y_new[6,49]   15.4     0.0 2.1  11.1  15.4  19.5  4145    1
## y_new[6,50]   15.4     0.0 2.2  11.1  15.3  19.6  3444    1
## y_new[6,51]   15.4     0.0 2.1  11.4  15.4  19.6  3839    1
## y_new[6,52]   15.4     0.0 2.2  11.1  15.4  19.6  4251    1
## y_new[6,53]   15.4     0.0 2.2  11.2  15.4  19.7  3813    1
## y_new[6,54]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.3  15.4  19.9  4122    1
## y_new[6,55]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.2  15.5  19.8  4103    1
## y_new[6,56]   15.4     0.0 2.2  11.3  15.4  19.8  3548    1
## y_new[6,57]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.1  15.5  20.0  3855    1
## y_new[6,58]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.3  15.5  19.7  3972    1
## y_new[6,59]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.3  15.5  19.9  3615    1
## y_new[6,60]   15.5     0.0 2.2  11.2  15.5  20.0  3020    1
## y_new[7,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3  -0.1   3.3  4056    1
## y_new[7,2]     1.4     0.0 1.8  -2.0   1.4   4.9  3945    1
## y_new[7,3]     2.7     0.0 1.8  -0.9   2.7   6.4  3877    1
## y_new[7,4]     3.8     0.0 1.8   0.2   3.8   7.4  4101    1
## y_new[7,5]     4.8     0.0 1.9   1.1   4.8   8.5  3775    1
## y_new[7,6]     5.8     0.0 1.9   2.2   5.8   9.5  3565    1
## y_new[7,7]     6.6     0.0 1.9   3.0   6.6  10.4  4041    1
## y_new[7,8]     7.4     0.0 1.9   3.6   7.4  11.3  4252    1
## y_new[7,9]     8.0     0.0 1.9   4.2   8.0  11.8  4237    1
## y_new[7,10]    8.7     0.0 1.9   4.9   8.7  12.6  4302    1
## y_new[7,11]    9.2     0.0 2.0   5.4   9.2  13.1  3653    1
## y_new[7,12]    9.8     0.0 1.9   6.0   9.7  13.6  4033    1
## y_new[7,13]   10.2     0.0 2.0   6.4  10.2  14.0  4205    1
## y_new[7,14]   10.6     0.0 1.9   6.8  10.7  14.4  4342    1
## y_new[7,15]   10.9     0.0 2.0   7.1  10.9  14.7  3931    1
## y_new[7,16]   11.4     0.0 1.9   7.6  11.4  15.2  4070    1
## y_new[7,17]   11.7     0.0 1.9   7.9  11.6  15.4  3773    1
## y_new[7,18]   11.9     0.0 1.9   8.0  11.9  15.8  4217    1
## y_new[7,19]   12.2     0.0 1.9   8.4  12.2  16.1  4298    1
## y_new[7,20]   12.4     0.0 1.9   8.6  12.5  16.2  4259    1
## y_new[7,21]   12.7     0.0 1.9   8.8  12.7  16.3  3952    1
## y_new[7,22]   12.8     0.0 1.9   9.0  12.8  16.4  3894    1
## y_new[7,23]   13.0     0.0 1.9   9.2  13.0  16.7  4376    1
## y_new[7,24]   13.1     0.0 1.9   9.4  13.1  17.0  4224    1
## y_new[7,25]   13.3     0.0 1.9   9.6  13.2  17.1  3943    1
## y_new[7,26]   13.4     0.0 1.9   9.6  13.4  17.3  4396    1
## y_new[7,27]   13.5     0.0 1.9   9.7  13.5  17.2  4141    1
## y_new[7,28]   13.6     0.0 2.0   9.8  13.6  17.6  4282    1
## y_new[7,29]   13.7     0.0 2.0   9.9  13.7  17.5  4148    1
## y_new[7,30]   13.9     0.0 1.9  10.1  13.9  17.6  4080    1
## y_new[7,31]   13.9     0.0 1.9  10.1  13.9  17.8  4181    1
## y_new[7,32]   14.0     0.0 2.0  10.0  14.0  18.0  4254    1
## y_new[7,33]   14.1     0.0 2.0  10.1  14.1  18.0  4122    1
## y_new[7,34]   14.1     0.0 2.0  10.2  14.1  18.0  4414    1
## y_new[7,35]   14.2     0.0 2.0  10.4  14.2  18.1  4524    1
## y_new[7,36]   14.2     0.0 2.1  10.1  14.2  18.1  4378    1
## y_new[7,37]   14.3     0.0 2.0  10.4  14.3  18.1  4280    1
## y_new[7,38]   14.3     0.0 2.0  10.5  14.3  18.2  4348    1
## y_new[7,39]   14.3     0.0 2.0  10.3  14.4  18.2  4044    1
## y_new[7,40]   14.4     0.0 2.0  10.5  14.3  18.4  4365    1
## y_new[7,41]   14.4     0.0 2.0  10.3  14.4  18.5  4122    1
## y_new[7,42]   14.5     0.0 2.0  10.6  14.5  18.3  4250    1
## y_new[7,43]   14.5     0.0 2.0  10.6  14.5  18.4  4420    1
## y_new[7,44]   14.5     0.0 2.0  10.6  14.5  18.5  4225    1
## y_new[7,45]   14.6     0.0 2.0  10.7  14.6  18.6  4133    1
## y_new[7,46]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.6  18.5  4173    1
## y_new[7,47]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.6  18.6  4619    1
## y_new[7,48]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.6  18.6  4176    1
## y_new[7,49]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.5  14.6  18.8  4392    1
## y_new[7,50]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.4  14.6  18.5  4541    1
## y_new[7,51]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.7  18.7  4073    1
## y_new[7,52]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.4  14.7  18.8  4206    1
## y_new[7,53]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.7  18.9  4303    1
## y_new[7,54]   14.6     0.0 2.1  10.5  14.6  18.7  4564    1
## y_new[7,55]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.5  14.6  18.8  4271    1
## y_new[7,56]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.8  18.8  4424    1
## y_new[7,57]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.7  18.9  4353    1
## y_new[7,58]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.6  14.7  18.8  4364    1
## y_new[7,59]   14.7     0.0 2.2  10.4  14.7  18.9  4236    1
## y_new[7,60]   14.7     0.0 2.1  10.7  14.7  18.7  4023    1
## y_new[8,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.5   0.0   3.4  3995    1
## y_new[8,2]     1.7     0.0 1.8  -1.7   1.7   5.2  3885    1
## y_new[8,3]     3.3     0.0 1.9  -0.4   3.3   7.1  4248    1
## y_new[8,4]     4.6     0.0 1.9   0.8   4.6   8.4  4159    1
## y_new[8,5]     5.8     0.0 1.9   2.0   5.7   9.6  4411    1
## y_new[8,6]     6.7     0.0 2.0   2.9   6.7  10.7  4159    1
## y_new[8,7]     7.6     0.0 2.0   3.8   7.5  11.6  3895    1
## y_new[8,8]     8.3     0.0 2.0   4.4   8.3  12.3  4133    1
## y_new[8,9]     8.9     0.0 2.0   4.9   8.9  12.9  3816    1
## y_new[8,10]    9.5     0.0 2.0   5.6   9.5  13.4  4502    1
## y_new[8,11]    9.9     0.0 2.0   6.0   9.9  13.8  4400    1
## y_new[8,12]   10.4     0.0 2.0   6.4  10.4  14.4  4160    1
## y_new[8,13]   10.7     0.0 1.9   7.0  10.7  14.4  4395    1
## y_new[8,14]   11.0     0.0 1.9   7.2  11.0  14.8  4010    1
## y_new[8,15]   11.3     0.0 1.9   7.6  11.3  15.0  3981    1
## y_new[8,16]   11.6     0.0 1.9   7.8  11.6  15.4  4328    1
## y_new[8,17]   11.8     0.0 1.9   8.0  11.8  15.5  3975    1
## y_new[8,18]   12.0     0.0 1.9   8.3  12.0  15.8  3998    1
## y_new[8,19]   12.1     0.0 1.9   8.4  12.1  16.0  4258    1
## y_new[8,20]   12.3     0.0 1.9   8.7  12.3  16.0  3579    1
## y_new[8,21]   12.4     0.0 1.9   8.7  12.4  16.1  4218    1
## y_new[8,22]   12.5     0.0 1.9   8.7  12.6  16.2  4085    1
## y_new[8,23]   12.6     0.0 1.9   8.9  12.6  16.5  4264    1
## y_new[8,24]   12.7     0.0 1.9   9.0  12.7  16.6  4296    1
## y_new[8,25]   12.8     0.0 1.9   9.0  12.8  16.7  4022    1
## y_new[8,26]   12.9     0.0 1.9   9.0  12.9  16.7  4642    1
## y_new[8,27]   12.9     0.0 1.9   9.1  12.9  16.7  3982    1
## y_new[8,28]   13.0     0.0 1.9   9.2  13.0  16.7  4162    1
## y_new[8,29]   13.0     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.0  16.9  3753    1
## y_new[8,30]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.2  13.0  16.8  3877    1
## y_new[8,31]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.2  13.1  17.0  4239    1
## y_new[8,32]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.2  13.1  17.0  4348    1
## y_new[8,33]   13.2     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.1  17.1  4357    1
## y_new[8,34]   13.2     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.2  17.1  4034    1
## y_new[8,35]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.3  17.1  4419    1
## y_new[8,36]   13.2     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.2  17.2  3975    1
## y_new[8,37]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.2  17.2  3987    1
## y_new[8,38]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.2  4310    1
## y_new[8,39]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.3  17.3  4085    1
## y_new[8,40]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.4  3981    1
## y_new[8,41]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.5  13.3  17.2  4249    1
## y_new[8,42]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.3  17.3  4282    1
## y_new[8,43]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.3  3791    1
## y_new[8,44]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.5  4024    1
## y_new[8,45]   13.3     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.2  3796    1
## y_new[8,46]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.4  17.4  4019    1
## y_new[8,47]   13.3     0.0 2.1   9.3  13.4  17.3  4435    1
## y_new[8,48]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.5  13.4  17.3  3900    1
## y_new[8,49]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.4  17.4  4341    1
## y_new[8,50]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.4  17.3  4127    1
## y_new[8,51]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.4  17.5  4363    1
## y_new[8,52]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.4  3938    1
## y_new[8,53]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.3  13.4  17.4  4563    1
## y_new[8,54]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.3  13.4  17.6  4389    1
## y_new[8,55]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.3  17.3  4200    1
## y_new[8,56]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.4  13.4  17.5  3710    1
## y_new[8,57]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.5  13.3  17.3  4540    1
## y_new[8,58]   13.4     0.0 2.1   9.3  13.4  17.4  4206    1
## y_new[8,59]   13.5     0.0 2.0   9.5  13.5  17.4  3667    1
## y_new[8,60]   13.4     0.0 2.0   9.4  13.4  17.5  4224    1
## y_new[9,1]     0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.3  4043    1
## y_new[9,2]     4.7     0.0 1.8   1.1   4.7   8.3  4137    1
## y_new[9,3]     8.7     0.0 1.9   5.0   8.7  12.5  4216    1
## y_new[9,4]    12.1     0.0 2.0   8.3  12.1  15.9  4350    1
## y_new[9,5]    15.0     0.0 2.0  11.0  15.0  18.8  4002    1
## y_new[9,6]    17.4     0.0 2.0  13.3  17.4  21.4  4241    1
## y_new[9,7]    19.5     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.5  23.4  4403    1
## y_new[9,8]    21.3     0.0 2.0  17.3  21.3  25.4  3682    1
## y_new[9,9]    22.8     0.0 2.0  18.8  22.8  26.9  4051    1
## y_new[9,10]   24.2     0.0 2.0  20.3  24.2  28.1  4195    1
## y_new[9,11]   25.2     0.0 2.0  21.3  25.2  29.1  4405    1
## y_new[9,12]   26.2     0.0 2.0  22.4  26.2  30.1  4473    1
## y_new[9,13]   27.0     0.0 1.9  23.2  27.0  30.8  4450    1
## y_new[9,14]   27.7     0.0 1.9  23.9  27.8  31.4  4150    1
## y_new[9,15]   28.3     0.0 1.9  24.5  28.3  31.9  4349    1
## y_new[9,16]   28.8     0.0 1.9  25.0  28.9  32.6  4262    1
## y_new[9,17]   29.3     0.0 1.9  25.5  29.3  33.1  3662    1
## y_new[9,18]   29.6     0.0 1.9  25.9  29.6  33.3  4035    1
## y_new[9,19]   29.9     0.0 1.9  26.3  29.9  33.7  3993    1
## y_new[9,20]   30.3     0.0 1.9  26.4  30.3  34.0  3779    1
## y_new[9,21]   30.5     0.0 1.9  26.8  30.5  34.2  4213    1
## y_new[9,22]   30.7     0.0 1.9  26.9  30.7  34.5  4367    1
## y_new[9,23]   30.8     0.0 1.9  27.1  30.8  34.5  3978    1
## y_new[9,24]   30.9     0.0 1.9  27.2  30.9  34.7  4235    1
## y_new[9,25]   31.1     0.0 2.0  27.2  31.1  35.0  3949    1
## y_new[9,26]   31.2     0.0 1.9  27.3  31.2  35.0  3909    1
## y_new[9,27]   31.3     0.0 2.0  27.4  31.4  35.0  4234    1
## y_new[9,28]   31.4     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.4  35.3  4012    1
## y_new[9,29]   31.5     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.5  35.5  4189    1
## y_new[9,30]   31.5     0.0 2.0  27.6  31.5  35.4  3911    1
## y_new[9,31]   31.5     0.0 2.0  27.5  31.6  35.3  4236    1
## y_new[9,32]   31.6     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.6  35.5  4122    1
## y_new[9,33]   31.6     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.6  35.5  4277    1
## y_new[9,34]   31.7     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.7  35.4  4390    1
## y_new[9,35]   31.7     0.0 2.0  27.6  31.7  35.5  4233    1
## y_new[9,36]   31.7     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.6  35.7  4394    1
## y_new[9,37]   31.7     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.7  4167    1
## y_new[9,38]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.6  4267    1
## y_new[9,39]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.7  35.8  4337    1
## y_new[9,40]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.8  4270    1
## y_new[9,41]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.7  4172    1
## y_new[9,42]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.8  35.9  3932    1
## y_new[9,43]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  35.9  3855    1
## y_new[9,44]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.7  4215    1
## y_new[9,45]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.8  4289    1
## y_new[9,46]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  35.9  4272    1
## y_new[9,47]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.6  31.8  35.8  4350    1
## y_new[9,48]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.9  4108    1
## y_new[9,49]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  35.9  3945    1
## y_new[9,50]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  35.8  4232    1
## y_new[9,51]   31.9     0.0 2.1  27.9  31.9  36.0  4313    1
## y_new[9,52]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  36.0  4110    1
## y_new[9,53]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.9  4186    1
## y_new[9,54]   31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.9  4317    1
## y_new[9,55]   31.9     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.9  36.0  4172    1
## y_new[9,56]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.8  31.8  35.9  4372    1
## y_new[9,57]   31.9     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.9  4029    1
## y_new[9,58]   31.9     0.0 2.1  27.9  31.8  35.9  4412    1
## y_new[9,59]   31.8     0.0 2.1  27.7  31.8  35.9  4251    1
## y_new[9,60]   31.9     0.0 2.1  27.9  31.9  36.0  4096    1
## y_new[10,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.2   0.1   3.3  4051    1
## y_new[10,2]    2.8     0.0 1.7  -0.6   2.8   6.2  4051    1
## y_new[10,3]    5.1     0.0 1.9   1.4   5.1   8.7  4202    1
## y_new[10,4]    7.0     0.0 2.0   3.1   7.0  10.9  3940    1
## y_new[10,5]    8.7     0.0 2.0   4.8   8.7  12.7  4101    1
## y_new[10,6]   10.2     0.0 2.1   6.2  10.2  14.3  3803    1
## y_new[10,7]   11.3     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.3  15.3  4009    1
## y_new[10,8]   12.2     0.0 2.0   8.2  12.2  16.1  3965    1
## y_new[10,9]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.2  13.1  17.1  4368    1
## y_new[10,10]  13.9     0.0 2.0   9.8  13.9  17.7  4292    1
## y_new[10,11]  14.4     0.0 2.0  10.4  14.4  18.2  4375    1
## y_new[10,12]  14.9     0.0 2.0  11.2  14.9  18.7  4202    1
## y_new[10,13]  15.3     0.0 1.9  11.5  15.3  19.0  4457    1
## y_new[10,14]  15.7     0.0 1.9  11.9  15.7  19.4  4320    1
## y_new[10,15]  16.0     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.0  19.8  4136    1
## y_new[10,16]  16.3     0.0 1.9  12.4  16.3  19.9  4355    1
## y_new[10,17]  16.5     0.0 1.9  12.7  16.5  20.2  4208    1
## y_new[10,18]  16.7     0.0 1.9  12.9  16.7  20.4  4200    1
## y_new[10,19]  16.9     0.0 1.9  13.2  16.9  20.6  4282    1
## y_new[10,20]  17.0     0.0 1.9  13.2  17.0  20.7  4201    1
## y_new[10,21]  17.1     0.0 2.0  13.3  17.1  21.0  3677    1
## y_new[10,22]  17.3     0.0 2.0  13.5  17.2  21.1  4212    1
## y_new[10,23]  17.4     0.0 1.9  13.6  17.4  21.2  4082    1
## y_new[10,24]  17.4     0.0 1.9  13.6  17.4  21.3  4333    1
## y_new[10,25]  17.4     0.0 2.0  13.6  17.4  21.3  4187    1
## y_new[10,26]  17.5     0.0 2.0  13.8  17.5  21.5  3818    1
## y_new[10,27]  17.5     0.0 2.0  13.7  17.5  21.5  4216    1
## y_new[10,28]  17.6     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.6  21.5  4107    1
## y_new[10,29]  17.7     0.0 1.9  13.9  17.7  21.5  3911    1
## y_new[10,30]  17.7     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.6  21.6  3926    1
## y_new[10,31]  17.7     0.0 2.0  13.8  17.7  21.7  4163    1
## y_new[10,32]  17.7     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.7  21.6  3686    1
## y_new[10,33]  17.7     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.7  21.7  4562    1
## y_new[10,34]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.7  4062    1
## y_new[10,35]  17.8     0.0 2.0  14.1  17.7  21.7  3816    1
## y_new[10,36]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.9  4196    1
## y_new[10,37]  17.8     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.8  21.8  4299    1
## y_new[10,38]  17.8     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.8  21.7  4173    1
## y_new[10,39]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.9  4192    1
## y_new[10,40]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.9  21.9  4042    1
## y_new[10,41]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.8  21.8  3977    1
## y_new[10,42]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.9  21.9  4251    1
## y_new[10,43]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.8  17.7  21.9  4094    1
## y_new[10,44]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.9  4634    1
## y_new[10,45]  17.9     0.0 2.1  13.8  17.8  21.9  4176    1
## y_new[10,46]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.1  17.9  21.9  3954    1
## y_new[10,47]  17.8     0.0 2.1  13.8  17.8  22.0  4444    1
## y_new[10,48]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.8  21.8  3905    1
## y_new[10,49]  17.8     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.9  4026    1
## y_new[10,50]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.9  4384    1
## y_new[10,51]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.8  17.8  21.8  4278    1
## y_new[10,52]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.9  22.0  3890    1
## y_new[10,53]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.1  17.9  21.7  4020    1
## y_new[10,54]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.8  21.8  4303    1
## y_new[10,55]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.1  17.9  21.9  4140    1
## y_new[10,56]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.9  17.9  21.8  4333    1
## y_new[10,57]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.9  22.0  4044    1
## y_new[10,58]  17.9     0.0 2.1  13.8  17.9  22.0  4256    1
## y_new[10,59]  17.9     0.0 2.0  13.8  17.9  21.9  4448    1
## y_new[10,60]  17.9     0.0 2.0  14.0  17.9  22.0  3887    1
## y_new[11,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.4  3867    1
## y_new[11,2]    2.8     0.0 1.8  -0.6   2.9   6.3  3994    1
## y_new[11,3]    5.3     0.0 1.9   1.5   5.3   9.1  4178    1
## y_new[11,4]    7.3     0.0 2.0   3.4   7.3  11.3  4404    1
## y_new[11,5]    9.1     0.0 2.0   5.2   9.1  13.1  4205    1
## y_new[11,6]   10.6     0.0 2.0   6.7  10.6  14.7  4215    1
## y_new[11,7]   11.9     0.0 2.1   7.9  11.9  15.9  4158    1
## y_new[11,8]   12.9     0.0 2.0   9.0  12.9  16.9  4169    1
## y_new[11,9]   13.9     0.0 2.0   9.8  13.9  17.9  4332    1
## y_new[11,10]  14.6     0.0 2.0  10.8  14.6  18.6  4314    1
## y_new[11,11]  15.3     0.0 1.9  11.5  15.3  19.1  4068    1
## y_new[11,12]  16.0     0.0 2.0  12.0  16.0  19.7  4033    1
## y_new[11,13]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.7  16.5  20.4  4524    1
## y_new[11,14]  17.0     0.0 1.9  13.1  17.0  20.7  4252    1
## y_new[11,15]  17.2     0.0 1.9  13.6  17.3  21.0  3690    1
## y_new[11,16]  17.6     0.0 1.9  13.6  17.6  21.4  3934    1
## y_new[11,17]  17.9     0.0 1.9  14.2  17.9  21.7  3887    1
## y_new[11,18]  18.1     0.0 1.9  14.3  18.1  21.8  4358    1
## y_new[11,19]  18.3     0.0 1.9  14.6  18.4  22.2  4119    1
## y_new[11,20]  18.5     0.0 1.9  14.8  18.5  22.3  4138    1
## y_new[11,21]  18.7     0.0 1.9  14.9  18.7  22.4  3973    1
## y_new[11,22]  18.8     0.0 1.9  15.0  18.7  22.5  4240    1
## y_new[11,23]  18.9     0.0 2.0  15.1  18.9  22.6  4465    1
## y_new[11,24]  19.0     0.0 1.9  15.3  19.0  22.7  4506    1
## y_new[11,25]  19.1     0.0 1.9  15.5  19.1  23.0  4329    1
## y_new[11,26]  19.1     0.0 2.0  15.3  19.1  22.9  4160    1
## y_new[11,27]  19.2     0.0 2.0  15.4  19.3  23.1  3974    1
## y_new[11,28]  19.3     0.0 2.0  15.4  19.3  23.1  4565    1
## y_new[11,29]  19.3     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.3  23.2  4532    1
## y_new[11,30]  19.4     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.3  23.3  4534    1
## y_new[11,31]  19.4     0.0 2.0  15.4  19.4  23.2  4479    1
## y_new[11,32]  19.4     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.4  23.4  4017    1
## y_new[11,33]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.5  23.6  4130    1
## y_new[11,34]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.5  23.5  4200    1
## y_new[11,35]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.5  23.5  3964    1
## y_new[11,36]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.5  23.5  4354    1
## y_new[11,37]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.5  23.6  4033    1
## y_new[11,38]  19.5     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.5  23.4  4198    1
## y_new[11,39]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.5  23.6  4498    1
## y_new[11,40]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.5  23.6  4485    1
## y_new[11,41]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.5  19.6  23.5  4427    1
## y_new[11,42]  19.6     0.0 2.1  15.5  19.6  23.8  4191    1
## y_new[11,43]  19.6     0.0 2.1  15.6  19.6  23.6  4210    1
## y_new[11,44]  19.6     0.0 2.1  15.5  19.6  23.7  4310    1
## y_new[11,45]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.6  19.6  23.7  3613    1
## y_new[11,46]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.6  23.5  4276    1
## y_new[11,47]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.6  19.7  23.4  4161    1
## y_new[11,48]  19.6     0.0 2.1  15.5  19.6  23.7  4572    1
## y_new[11,49]  19.7     0.0 2.0  15.8  19.7  23.6  4341    1
## y_new[11,50]  19.6     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.6  23.7  4755    1
## y_new[11,51]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.7  19.6  23.7  4070    1
## y_new[11,52]  19.7     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.7  23.7  4258    1
## y_new[11,53]  19.7     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.7  23.7  4331    1
## y_new[11,54]  19.7     0.0 2.0  15.7  19.7  23.7  4390    1
## y_new[11,55]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.5  19.7  23.7  4334    1
## y_new[11,56]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.7  19.7  23.9  4092    1
## y_new[11,57]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.7  19.6  23.9  4345    1
## y_new[11,58]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.8  19.7  23.9  4604    1
## y_new[11,59]  19.6     0.0 2.1  15.6  19.6  23.6  4212    1
## y_new[11,60]  19.7     0.0 2.1  15.6  19.6  23.8  4315    1
## y_new[12,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3   0.0   3.3  4240    1
## y_new[12,2]    3.1     0.0 1.8  -0.5   3.1   6.7  3929    1
## y_new[12,3]    5.6     0.0 1.9   1.7   5.5   9.3  4032    1
## y_new[12,4]    7.5     0.0 2.1   3.6   7.5  11.7  3835    1
## y_new[12,5]    9.1     0.0 2.1   4.9   9.1  13.2  4404    1
## y_new[12,6]   10.4     0.0 2.1   6.4  10.4  14.5  4607    1
## y_new[12,7]   11.4     0.0 2.0   7.2  11.4  15.3  3837    1
## y_new[12,8]   12.3     0.0 2.0   8.4  12.3  16.3  4278    1
## y_new[12,9]   13.1     0.0 2.0   9.1  13.1  16.9  4205    1
## y_new[12,10]  13.6     0.0 2.0   9.7  13.6  17.5  4146    1
## y_new[12,11]  14.1     0.0 1.9  10.3  14.1  17.7  3892    1
## y_new[12,12]  14.5     0.0 1.9  10.7  14.4  18.3  4152    1
## y_new[12,13]  14.8     0.0 1.9  11.1  14.8  18.5  4369    1
## y_new[12,14]  15.1     0.0 1.9  11.2  15.1  18.8  4267    1
## y_new[12,15]  15.3     0.0 1.9  11.5  15.3  19.0  4037    1
## y_new[12,16]  15.4     0.0 1.9  11.8  15.4  19.1  4046    1
## y_new[12,17]  15.6     0.0 1.9  11.8  15.6  19.3  3649    1
## y_new[12,18]  15.7     0.0 1.9  12.0  15.8  19.5  3738    1
## y_new[12,19]  15.8     0.0 1.9  12.0  15.8  19.5  4170    1
## y_new[12,20]  15.9     0.0 1.9  12.2  15.9  19.7  4130    1
## y_new[12,21]  16.0     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.0  19.7  3839    1
## y_new[12,22]  16.1     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.1  19.8  4272    1
## y_new[12,23]  16.0     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.0  20.0  4393    1
## y_new[12,24]  16.1     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.1  20.0  4182    1
## y_new[12,25]  16.1     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.1  19.9  3780    1
## y_new[12,26]  16.1     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.1  19.9  4202    1
## y_new[12,27]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.2  20.1  4320    1
## y_new[12,28]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.2  20.1  4109    1
## y_new[12,29]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.2  20.2  4451    1
## y_new[12,30]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.2  20.1  4131    1
## y_new[12,31]  16.3     0.0 1.9  12.3  16.2  20.1  4092    1
## y_new[12,32]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.2  20.2  4122    1
## y_new[12,33]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.3  20.2  4104    1
## y_new[12,34]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.2  4134    1
## y_new[12,35]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  4291    1
## y_new[12,36]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  4007    1
## y_new[12,37]  16.2     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.0  4346    1
## y_new[12,38]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  4051    1
## y_new[12,39]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.1  4538    1
## y_new[12,40]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.1  4087    1
## y_new[12,41]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.3  4004    1
## y_new[12,42]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.3  4460    1
## y_new[12,43]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.4  4092    1
## y_new[12,44]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.1  3903    1
## y_new[12,45]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.2  4279    1
## y_new[12,46]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  3831    1
## y_new[12,47]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.3  4546    1
## y_new[12,48]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.3  4207    1
## y_new[12,49]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.3  20.4  4633    1
## y_new[12,50]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  4269    1
## y_new[12,51]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.3  4348    1
## y_new[12,52]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.4  4142    1
## y_new[12,53]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.3  4018    1
## y_new[12,54]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.4  4342    1
## y_new[12,55]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.3  4424    1
## y_new[12,56]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.3  20.2  4267    1
## y_new[12,57]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.2  4043    1
## y_new[12,58]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.3  20.2  4166    1
## y_new[12,59]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  3971    1
## y_new[12,60]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.3  4174    1
## y_new[13,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3   0.0   3.3  3879    1
## y_new[13,2]    1.0     0.0 1.7  -2.3   1.0   4.5  4170    1
## y_new[13,3]    1.9     0.0 1.7  -1.5   1.9   5.2  3784    1
## y_new[13,4]    2.8     0.0 1.8  -0.7   2.8   6.4  3657    1
## y_new[13,5]    3.5     0.0 1.8   0.0   3.5   7.3  4125    1
## y_new[13,6]    4.3     0.0 1.8   0.7   4.3   7.9  4163    1
## y_new[13,7]    4.9     0.0 1.9   1.3   4.8   8.6  3975    1
## y_new[13,8]    5.4     0.0 1.9   1.8   5.4   9.2  4117    1
## y_new[13,9]    6.0     0.0 1.9   2.2   6.0   9.9  4172    1
## y_new[13,10]   6.4     0.0 2.0   2.4   6.4  10.2  3780    1
## y_new[13,11]   6.9     0.0 1.9   3.1   6.9  10.6  4214    1
## y_new[13,12]   7.2     0.0 1.9   3.4   7.2  11.0  3947    1
## y_new[13,13]   7.6     0.0 2.0   3.9   7.6  11.6  3829    1
## y_new[13,14]   7.9     0.0 1.9   4.1   8.0  11.7  3884    1
## y_new[13,15]   8.2     0.0 2.0   4.5   8.2  12.0  4151    1
## y_new[13,16]   8.5     0.0 1.9   4.6   8.5  12.3  3334    1
## y_new[13,17]   8.7     0.0 1.9   4.9   8.7  12.5  4020    1
## y_new[13,18]   9.0     0.0 1.9   5.4   8.9  12.6  3864    1
## y_new[13,19]   9.2     0.0 1.9   5.5   9.2  12.9  4094    1
## y_new[13,20]   9.4     0.0 2.0   5.5   9.4  13.2  3827    1
## y_new[13,21]   9.5     0.0 1.9   5.7   9.5  13.3  4063    1
## y_new[13,22]   9.7     0.0 1.9   5.9   9.7  13.5  3932    1
## y_new[13,23]   9.8     0.0 1.9   6.0   9.8  13.6  3950    1
## y_new[13,24]  10.0     0.0 1.9   6.2  10.0  13.7  3881    1
## y_new[13,25]  10.1     0.0 1.9   6.4  10.1  13.9  4248    1
## y_new[13,26]  10.2     0.0 2.0   6.3  10.1  14.2  3867    1
## y_new[13,27]  10.3     0.0 1.9   6.4  10.3  14.0  3925    1
## y_new[13,28]  10.4     0.0 1.9   6.7  10.5  14.2  3757    1
## y_new[13,29]  10.5     0.0 2.0   6.6  10.5  14.4  4176    1
## y_new[13,30]  10.6     0.0 1.9   6.8  10.6  14.3  4165    1
## y_new[13,31]  10.6     0.0 1.9   6.9  10.6  14.3  4096    1
## y_new[13,32]  10.7     0.0 2.0   6.9  10.7  14.6  4449    1
## y_new[13,33]  10.8     0.0 2.0   6.9  10.8  14.6  3828    1
## y_new[13,34]  10.9     0.0 2.0   7.1  10.8  14.7  3523    1
## y_new[13,35]  10.9     0.0 2.0   7.1  10.9  14.8  4054    1
## y_new[13,36]  11.0     0.0 2.0   6.9  11.0  14.9  4045    1
## y_new[13,37]  11.0     0.0 2.0   7.1  11.0  14.9  3841    1
## y_new[13,38]  11.0     0.0 2.0   6.9  11.1  15.1  3926    1
## y_new[13,39]  11.1     0.0 2.0   7.1  11.1  14.9  4086    1
## y_new[13,40]  11.1     0.0 2.0   7.2  11.0  15.1  4024    1
## y_new[13,41]  11.2     0.0 2.0   7.2  11.1  15.1  4490    1
## y_new[13,42]  11.2     0.0 2.0   7.4  11.2  15.2  3931    1
## y_new[13,43]  11.2     0.0 2.1   7.1  11.2  15.2  4010    1
## y_new[13,44]  11.2     0.0 2.1   7.1  11.3  15.2  4269    1
## y_new[13,45]  11.3     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.3  15.4  3969    1
## y_new[13,46]  11.3     0.0 2.1   7.4  11.3  15.5  4157    1
## y_new[13,47]  11.3     0.0 2.0   7.3  11.3  15.3  3966    1
## y_new[13,48]  11.3     0.0 2.1   7.2  11.3  15.5  4364    1
## y_new[13,49]  11.3     0.0 2.0   7.3  11.3  15.4  3718    1
## y_new[13,50]  11.3     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.3  15.5  4085    1
## y_new[13,51]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.4  15.3  3672    1
## y_new[13,52]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.4  15.5  4026    1
## y_new[13,53]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.5  11.4  15.4  3746    1
## y_new[13,54]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.4  15.6  4111    1
## y_new[13,55]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.3  15.6  4377    1
## y_new[13,56]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.2  11.4  15.7  3855    1
## y_new[13,57]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.4  15.6  4306    1
## y_new[13,58]  11.4     0.0 2.1   7.4  11.4  15.5  4378    1
## y_new[13,59]  11.5     0.0 2.1   7.4  11.4  15.6  4166    1
## y_new[13,60]  11.5     0.0 2.1   7.3  11.5  15.5  4104    1
## y_new[14,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.5   0.0   3.3  3995    1
## y_new[14,2]    2.4     0.0 1.7  -0.9   2.4   5.9  4075    1
## y_new[14,3]    4.6     0.0 1.8   1.1   4.6   8.2  4047    1
## y_new[14,4]    6.6     0.0 1.8   3.0   6.6  10.2  4017    1
## y_new[14,5]    8.3     0.0 1.9   4.7   8.4  12.0  4220    1
## y_new[14,6]    9.9     0.0 1.9   6.1   9.9  13.7  4317    1
## y_new[14,7]   11.4     0.0 2.0   7.5  11.3  15.2  4139    1
## y_new[14,8]   12.7     0.0 2.0   8.8  12.6  16.7  3899    1
## y_new[14,9]   13.8     0.0 2.0  10.0  13.8  17.6  3918    1
## y_new[14,10]  14.9     0.0 2.0  11.1  14.9  18.9  3602    1
## y_new[14,11]  15.8     0.0 2.0  11.9  15.8  19.7  4197    1
## y_new[14,12]  16.7     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.7  20.5  4267    1
## y_new[14,13]  17.5     0.0 2.0  13.6  17.5  21.3  4178    1
## y_new[14,14]  18.1     0.0 2.0  14.3  18.1  22.0  3988    1
## y_new[14,15]  18.8     0.0 2.0  15.1  18.8  22.7  3947    1
## y_new[14,16]  19.3     0.0 1.9  15.5  19.3  23.2  3990    1
## y_new[14,17]  19.9     0.0 2.0  16.1  19.8  23.8  4175    1
## y_new[14,18]  20.3     0.0 1.9  16.6  20.3  24.2  3859    1
## y_new[14,19]  20.8     0.0 1.9  17.0  20.8  24.5  4098    1
## y_new[14,20]  21.1     0.0 1.9  17.3  21.1  24.8  4155    1
## y_new[14,21]  21.5     0.0 1.9  17.8  21.5  25.2  4167    1
## y_new[14,22]  21.8     0.0 1.9  18.0  21.8  25.4  4081    1
## y_new[14,23]  22.1     0.0 1.9  18.3  22.0  25.9  4280    1
## y_new[14,24]  22.2     0.0 1.9  18.6  22.2  26.1  4293    1
## y_new[14,25]  22.5     0.0 1.9  18.7  22.5  26.2  4049    1
## y_new[14,26]  22.8     0.0 1.9  19.1  22.8  26.5  4205    1
## y_new[14,27]  22.9     0.0 1.9  19.2  22.9  26.6  4077    1
## y_new[14,28]  23.1     0.0 1.9  19.3  23.1  26.9  3911    1
## y_new[14,29]  23.3     0.0 2.0  19.4  23.3  27.1  4181    1
## y_new[14,30]  23.5     0.0 2.0  19.6  23.5  27.2  4145    1
## y_new[14,31]  23.5     0.0 2.0  19.7  23.5  27.4  4033    1
## y_new[14,32]  23.6     0.0 2.0  19.6  23.6  27.6  3833    1
## y_new[14,33]  23.7     0.0 2.0  19.7  23.8  27.6  4179    1
## y_new[14,34]  23.9     0.0 2.0  20.0  23.9  27.9  4163    1
## y_new[14,35]  23.9     0.0 2.0  19.9  23.9  27.8  4533    1
## y_new[14,36]  24.0     0.0 2.0  20.2  24.0  28.0  4432    1
## y_new[14,37]  24.0     0.0 2.0  20.1  24.1  27.9  4291    1
## y_new[14,38]  24.1     0.0 2.0  20.1  24.1  28.0  4434    1
## y_new[14,39]  24.2     0.0 2.1  20.1  24.2  28.2  4208    1
## y_new[14,40]  24.2     0.0 2.0  20.3  24.2  28.2  4309    1
## y_new[14,41]  24.3     0.0 2.0  20.3  24.4  28.3  3877    1
## y_new[14,42]  24.4     0.0 2.0  20.3  24.4  28.3  4013    1
## y_new[14,43]  24.4     0.0 2.1  20.3  24.4  28.4  4454    1
## y_new[14,44]  24.4     0.0 2.1  20.3  24.4  28.4  4036    1
## y_new[14,45]  24.5     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.5  28.5  4163    1
## y_new[14,46]  24.5     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.5  28.5  4337    1
## y_new[14,47]  24.4     0.0 2.1  20.2  24.5  28.5  4594    1
## y_new[14,48]  24.5     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.5  28.5  4146    1
## y_new[14,49]  24.5     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.6  28.8  4349    1
## y_new[14,50]  24.6     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.6  28.6  4352    1
## y_new[14,51]  24.6     0.0 2.1  20.3  24.6  28.8  4302    1
## y_new[14,52]  24.6     0.0 2.1  20.6  24.6  28.8  3758    1
## y_new[14,53]  24.6     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.6  28.8  4289    1
## y_new[14,54]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.4  24.7  28.9  4145    1
## y_new[14,55]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.7  28.8  4360    1
## y_new[14,56]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.6  24.7  28.9  4234    1
## y_new[14,57]  24.6     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.6  28.9  4385    1
## y_new[14,58]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.6  28.9  4235    1
## y_new[14,59]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.7  28.9  4317    1
## y_new[14,60]  24.7     0.0 2.1  20.5  24.7  28.8  4054    1
## y_new[15,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.4   0.0   3.4  3664    1
## y_new[15,2]    2.0     0.0 1.8  -1.4   2.0   5.4  3885    1
## y_new[15,3]    3.8     0.0 1.8   0.4   3.7   7.4  3825    1
## y_new[15,4]    5.3     0.0 1.8   1.7   5.3   8.9  3709    1
## y_new[15,5]    6.6     0.0 1.9   2.9   6.7  10.4  4416    1
## y_new[15,6]    7.8     0.0 1.9   4.1   7.8  11.6  4711    1
## y_new[15,7]    8.8     0.0 2.0   5.0   8.8  12.8  4016    1
## y_new[15,8]    9.7     0.0 1.9   6.0   9.7  13.7  4345    1
## y_new[15,9]   10.6     0.0 1.9   6.9  10.5  14.3  4166    1
## y_new[15,10]  11.3     0.0 2.0   7.5  11.3  15.2  4490    1
## y_new[15,11]  11.9     0.0 1.9   8.1  11.9  15.7  4168    1
## y_new[15,12]  12.4     0.0 1.9   8.7  12.4  16.3  4456    1
## y_new[15,13]  12.9     0.0 2.0   9.0  12.9  16.8  4398    1
## y_new[15,14]  13.4     0.0 1.9   9.5  13.4  17.2  4347    1
## y_new[15,15]  13.8     0.0 1.9  10.0  13.8  17.5  3982    1
## y_new[15,16]  14.1     0.0 1.9  10.2  14.1  17.8  4246    1
## y_new[15,17]  14.4     0.0 1.9  10.6  14.4  18.0  4076    1
## y_new[15,18]  14.7     0.0 1.9  10.9  14.6  18.5  4032    1
## y_new[15,19]  14.9     0.0 1.9  11.0  14.9  18.6  4200    1
## y_new[15,20]  15.1     0.0 1.9  11.2  15.1  18.7  4270    1
## y_new[15,21]  15.3     0.0 1.9  11.4  15.3  19.1  3729    1
## y_new[15,22]  15.4     0.0 1.9  11.8  15.4  19.2  3863    1
## y_new[15,23]  15.5     0.0 2.0  11.7  15.5  19.5  4265    1
## y_new[15,24]  15.7     0.0 1.9  11.8  15.7  19.5  4196    1
## y_new[15,25]  15.9     0.0 2.0  12.0  15.8  19.9  4152    1
## y_new[15,26]  15.9     0.0 2.0  12.1  15.8  19.8  4430    1
## y_new[15,27]  16.0     0.0 1.9  12.1  16.0  19.7  3999    1
## y_new[15,28]  16.0     0.0 2.0  12.1  16.0  19.9  4200    1
## y_new[15,29]  16.1     0.0 2.0  12.2  16.1  20.0  3739    1
## y_new[15,30]  16.2     0.0 1.9  12.4  16.1  19.9  4242    1
## y_new[15,31]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.3  16.2  20.1  4367    1
## y_new[15,32]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.3  20.1  4483    1
## y_new[15,33]  16.3     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.2  4040    1
## y_new[15,34]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.4  20.3  4035    1
## y_new[15,35]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.4  20.3  4615    1
## y_new[15,36]  16.4     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.4  20.4  4495    1
## y_new[15,37]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.5  20.5  4087    1
## y_new[15,38]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.5  20.5  4320    1
## y_new[15,39]  16.5     0.0 2.1  12.5  16.5  20.4  4492    1
## y_new[15,40]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.7  16.5  20.4  4374    1
## y_new[15,41]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.4  16.5  20.5  4435    1
## y_new[15,42]  16.5     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.5  20.6  4045    1
## y_new[15,43]  16.5     0.0 2.0  12.5  16.5  20.6  4446    1
## y_new[15,44]  16.6     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.6  20.5  4230    1
## y_new[15,45]  16.6     0.0 2.1  12.4  16.6  20.6  4262    1
## y_new[15,46]  16.6     0.0 2.0  12.7  16.6  20.8  4466    1
## y_new[15,47]  16.6     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.7  20.6  4594    1
## y_new[15,48]  16.6     0.0 2.0  12.8  16.6  20.6  4544    1
## y_new[15,49]  16.6     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.6  4701    1
## y_new[15,50]  16.6     0.0 2.0  12.8  16.6  20.6  3985    1
## y_new[15,51]  16.6     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.5  4238    1
## y_new[15,52]  16.6     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.7  4305    1
## y_new[15,53]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.7  4320    1
## y_new[15,54]  16.7     0.0 2.0  12.6  16.7  20.6  4756    1
## y_new[15,55]  16.6     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.7  4422    1
## y_new[15,56]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.5  16.7  20.8  3658    1
## y_new[15,57]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.7  20.8  4992    1
## y_new[15,58]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.7  20.8  4288    1
## y_new[15,59]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.6  16.6  20.8  4217    1
## y_new[15,60]  16.7     0.0 2.1  12.7  16.6  20.7  4485    1
## y_new[16,1]    0.0     0.0 1.7  -3.3   0.0   3.4  4164    1
## y_new[16,2]    6.0     0.0 1.8   2.3   6.0   9.7  4159    1
## y_new[16,3]   10.8     0.0 1.9   6.9  10.7  14.6  3846    1
## y_new[16,4]   14.7     0.0 2.0  10.8  14.7  18.7  4324    1
## y_new[16,5]   18.0     0.0 2.1  14.0  18.0  22.0  4500    1
## y_new[16,6]   20.5     0.0 2.1  16.4  20.5  24.6  4155    1
## y_new[16,7]   22.6     0.0 2.0  18.7  22.6  26.6  4150    1
## y_new[16,8]   24.3     0.0 2.0  20.3  24.3  28.1  4086    1
## y_new[16,9]   25.7     0.0 2.0  21.8  25.7  29.5  3644    1
## y_new[16,10]  26.8     0.0 1.9  23.0  26.9  30.7  4105    1
## y_new[16,11]  27.8     0.0 1.9  23.9  27.8  31.7  4436    1
## y_new[16,12]  28.5     0.0 1.9  24.9  28.5  32.3  4315    1
## y_new[16,13]  29.2     0.0 1.9  25.4  29.2  32.9  4415    1
## y_new[16,14]  29.6     0.0 1.9  25.8  29.6  33.3  4371    1
## y_new[16,15]  30.0     0.0 1.9  26.3  30.1  33.8  4266    1
## y_new[16,16]  30.4     0.0 1.9  26.6  30.4  34.1  4156    1
## y_new[16,17]  30.7     0.0 1.9  26.9  30.7  34.3  4137    1
## y_new[16,18]  30.8     0.0 1.9  27.0  30.8  34.6  3866    1
## y_new[16,19]  31.0     0.0 1.9  27.3  31.0  34.8  4369    1
## y_new[16,20]  31.2     0.0 1.9  27.4  31.2  34.9  4303    1
## y_new[16,21]  31.3     0.0 1.9  27.5  31.3  35.0  4213    1
## y_new[16,22]  31.4     0.0 2.0  27.6  31.4  35.4  4743    1
## y_new[16,23]  31.5     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.5  35.5  4280    1
## y_new[16,24]  31.6     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.6  35.4  4503    1
## y_new[16,25]  31.6     0.0 2.0  27.6  31.6  35.6  4164    1
## y_new[16,26]  31.6     0.0 1.9  27.8  31.6  35.4  3976    1
## y_new[16,27]  31.7     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.7  35.8  4432    1
## y_new[16,28]  31.7     0.0 1.9  28.0  31.7  35.5  3776    1
## y_new[16,29]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.8  35.6  4149    1
## y_new[16,30]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.7  35.8  4589    1
## y_new[16,31]  31.8     0.0 1.9  28.0  31.8  35.7  4206    1
## y_new[16,32]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.7  31.8  35.6  4080    1
## y_new[16,33]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.8  4133    1
## y_new[16,34]  31.8     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.8  35.7  4195    1
## y_new[16,35]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.1  31.9  35.8  4063    1
## y_new[16,36]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.9  4752    1
## y_new[16,37]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.8  35.9  4387    1
## y_new[16,38]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.7  4398    1
## y_new[16,39]  31.8     0.0 2.0  28.1  31.8  35.9  3930    1
## y_new[16,40]  31.9     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.7  4196    1
## y_new[16,41]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.7  4124    1
## y_new[16,42]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.9  3857    1
## y_new[16,43]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.9  36.0  4298    1
## y_new[16,44]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.9  35.8  4394    1
## y_new[16,45]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.8  35.7  4489    1
## y_new[16,46]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.9  35.6  4303    1
## y_new[16,47]  31.9     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.8  4137    1
## y_new[16,48]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.9  35.8  4256    1
## y_new[16,49]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.1  31.9  35.8  4148    1
## y_new[16,50]  31.9     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.8  3736    1
## y_new[16,51]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.1  31.9  36.0  4144    1
## y_new[16,52]  31.9     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.8  4244    1
## y_new[16,53]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.8  31.8  35.9  4591    1
## y_new[16,54]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.8  35.9  4085    1
## y_new[16,55]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.9  35.8  4374    1
## y_new[16,56]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.1  31.9  35.6  4451    1
## y_new[16,57]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.8  35.7  4267    1
## y_new[16,58]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.9  35.8  4317    1
## y_new[16,59]  31.9     0.0 2.0  28.0  31.9  35.9  4338    1
## y_new[16,60]  31.8     0.0 2.0  27.9  31.8  35.8  4435    1
## lp__         -85.0     0.2 5.3 -96.9 -84.6 -76.0  1100    1
## 
## Samples were drawn using NUTS(diag_e) at Tue Dec 26 23:07:23 2023.
## For each parameter, n_eff is a crude measure of effective sample size,
## and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor on split chains (at 
## convergence, Rhat=1).

MCMCで得られたデータを利用して予測分布を可視化する。

ms <- rstan::extract(fit)
d_est <- data.frame()
for (n in 1:nrow(d)) {
  qua <- apply(ms$y_new[,n,], 2, quantile, prob  =  c(0.025, 0.5, 0.975))
  d_est <- rbind(d_est, data.frame(PersonID = n, Time = Time_new, t(qua), check.names = FALSE))
}

d2 <- d %>% 
  tidyr::pivot_longer(cols = -PersonID, values_to = 'Y') %>% 
  mutate(Time = readr::parse_number(name)) %>% 
  select(-name)

ggplot(data = d_est, aes(x = Time, y = `50%`)) +
  theme_bw(base_size = 15) +
  facet_wrap(~PersonID) +
  geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = `2.5%`, ymax = `97.5%`), fill = 'black', alpha = 1/5) +
  geom_line(linewidth = 0.5) +
  geom_point(data = d2, aes(x = Time, y = Y), size = 3) +
  labs(x = 'Time (hour)', y = 'Y') +
  scale_x_continuous(breaks = Time, limit = c(0,24)) +
  scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(0,40,10), limit = c(-3,37))

ガンマ分布を利用したモデル

書籍と同じようなモデルとして、ガンマ分布を利用する方法もある。ガンマ分布は正の値しかとらないので、今回のケースでは都合よい。Stanで使用する際はパラメタを\(\alpha = \frac{\mu^2}{\sigma},\beta=\frac{\mu}{\sigma}\)と指定するので注意。

\(\alpha,\beta\)\(\mu,\sigma\)の関係は下記の通り。

Gamma

ガンマ分布を使った場合のStanのモデルは下記のように表現できる。

data {
  int N;
  int T;
  real Time[T];
  real Y[N,T];
  int T_new;
  real Time_new[T_new];
}

parameters {
  real mu_a;
  real mu_b;
  real<lower=0> a[N];
  real<lower=0> b[N];
  real<lower=0> s_a;
  real<lower=0> s_b;
  real<lower=0> s_Y;
}

model {
  for (n in 1:N) {
    a[n] ~ gamma(mu_a^2/s_a, mu_a/s_a);
    b[n] ~ gamma(mu_b^2/s_b, mu_b/s_b);
  }
  for (n in 1:N)
    for (t in 1:T)
      Y[n,t] ~ normal(a[n]*(1 - exp(-b[n]*Time[t])), s_Y);
}

generated quantities {
  real y_new[N,T_new];
  for (n in 1:N)
    for (t in 1:T_new)
      y_new[n,t] = normal_rng(a[n]*(1 - exp(-b[n]*Time_new[t])), s_Y);
}

ここでは、stan_model()関数で最初にコンパイルしておいてから、

model87_ <- stan_model('note_ahirubayes09-87_.stan')

sampling()関数でサンプリングする。

fit_ <- sampling(object = model87_, data = data, seed = 1989)

パラメタの推定結果はこちら。\(\sigma_{Y}\)以外は対数スケールとなっている。少し混乱するが、a[1],b[1]は通常スケールでexpで変換する前のa0,b0が対数スケールということ(対数変換したものが正規分布に従うと考えている)。

print(fit_, prob = c(0.025, 0.5, 0.975), digits_summary = 1)
## Inference for Stan model: anon_model.
## 4 chains, each with iter=2000; warmup=1000; thin=1; 
## post-warmup draws per chain=1000, total post-warmup draws=4000.
## 
##                mean se_mean   sd   2.5%    50%  97.5% n_eff Rhat
## mu_a           19.8     0.0  2.4   15.7   19.5   25.2  2831    1
## mu_b            0.3     0.0  0.0    0.3    0.3    0.5  2621    1
## a[1]           13.0     0.0  1.3   10.7   12.9   15.7  5059    1
## a[2]            8.2     0.0  1.3    6.0    8.1   10.9  3736    1
## a[3]           23.9     0.0  1.2   21.6   23.8   26.2  5757    1
## a[4]           25.9     0.0  1.2   23.7   25.9   28.2  5563    1
## a[5]           14.4     0.0  1.7   11.3   14.3   18.3  3341    1
## a[6]           15.8     0.0  1.7   13.0   15.6   19.5  3519    1
## a[7]           14.9     0.0  1.4   12.3   14.8   17.9  4351    1
## a[8]           13.4     0.0  1.2   11.2   13.3   15.8  4591    1
## a[9]           31.8     0.0  1.1   29.7   31.8   34.1  4271    1
## a[10]          17.9     0.0  1.1   15.8   17.8   19.9  5847    1
## a[11]          19.6     0.0  1.1   17.5   19.6   22.0  5398    1
## a[12]          16.3     0.0  1.0   14.5   16.3   18.3  4894    1
## a[13]          11.6     0.0  1.4    9.1   11.5   14.7  3719    1
## a[14]          24.9     0.0  1.3   22.3   24.8   27.6  5407    1
## a[15]          16.7     0.0  1.1   14.5   16.6   19.0  5550    1
## a[16]          31.9     0.0  1.0   29.9   31.9   33.9  4874    1
## b[1]            0.3     0.0  0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4  5126    1
## b[2]            0.3     0.0  0.1    0.1    0.3    0.5  4559    1
## b[3]            0.3     0.0  0.0    0.2    0.3    0.4  5370    1
## b[4]            0.3     0.0  0.0    0.2    0.3    0.4  4901    1
## b[5]            0.2     0.0  0.1    0.1    0.2    0.3  3548    1
## b[6]            0.2     0.0  0.1    0.1    0.2    0.4  3885    1
## b[7]            0.2     0.0  0.1    0.1    0.2    0.4  5023    1
## b[8]            0.4     0.0  0.1    0.2    0.4    0.6  4128    1
## b[9]            0.4     0.0  0.1    0.3    0.4    0.5  4639    1
## b[10]           0.4     0.0  0.1    0.3    0.4    0.6  4383    1
## b[11]           0.4     0.0  0.1    0.3    0.4    0.6  5570    1
## b[12]           0.5     0.0  0.1    0.3    0.5    0.8  3984    1
## b[13]           0.2     0.0  0.1    0.1    0.2    0.4  3792    1
## b[14]           0.3     0.0  0.0    0.2    0.2    0.3  4833    1
## b[15]           0.3     0.0  0.1    0.2    0.3    0.5  4774    1
## b[16]           0.5     0.0  0.1    0.4    0.5    0.6  4418    1
## s_a            78.7     1.2 54.6   28.2   64.8  210.1  1926    1
## s_b             0.0     0.0  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.1  1620    1
## s_Y             1.7     0.0  0.2    1.4    1.7    2.0  3676    1
## y_new[1,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.3    0.0    3.4  3991    1
## y_new[1,2]      1.3     0.0  1.7   -2.1    1.3    4.8  3801    1
## y_new[1,3]      2.5     0.0  1.8   -0.9    2.5    5.9  4143    1
## y_new[1,4]      3.5     0.0  1.9    0.0    3.5    7.2  4321    1
## y_new[1,5]      4.5     0.0  1.9    0.9    4.5    8.3  4106    1
## y_new[1,6]      5.3     0.0  1.9    1.5    5.3    9.2  3973    1
## y_new[1,7]      6.1     0.0  1.9    2.3    6.1    9.8  4066    1
## y_new[1,8]      6.7     0.0  2.0    2.8    6.7   10.5  4177    1
## y_new[1,9]      7.3     0.0  2.0    3.4    7.3   11.3  3877    1
## y_new[1,10]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.9   11.7  4289    1
## y_new[1,11]     8.3     0.0  1.9    4.5    8.3   12.2  4119    1
## y_new[1,12]     8.8     0.0  2.0    4.9    8.8   12.6  4132    1
## y_new[1,13]     9.2     0.0  1.9    5.3    9.2   13.2  4230    1
## y_new[1,14]     9.5     0.0  1.9    5.8    9.5   13.3  3947    1
## y_new[1,15]     9.9     0.0  1.9    6.1    9.8   13.6  3902    1
## y_new[1,16]    10.1     0.0  1.9    6.3   10.1   13.9  4202    1
## y_new[1,17]    10.4     0.0  1.9    6.6   10.4   14.3  4114    1
## y_new[1,18]    10.6     0.0  1.9    6.9   10.6   14.3  4009    1
## y_new[1,19]    10.8     0.0  1.9    7.1   10.9   14.6  3973    1
## y_new[1,20]    11.0     0.0  1.9    7.1   11.0   14.8  4147    1
## y_new[1,21]    11.2     0.0  1.9    7.3   11.2   15.0  3974    1
## y_new[1,22]    11.3     0.0  1.9    7.6   11.3   15.2  4002    1
## y_new[1,23]    11.5     0.0  1.9    7.7   11.5   15.3  4068    1
## y_new[1,24]    11.6     0.0  1.9    8.0   11.6   15.5  4227    1
## y_new[1,25]    11.7     0.0  2.0    7.8   11.8   15.5  4037    1
## y_new[1,26]    11.8     0.0  1.9    8.1   11.9   15.6  4267    1
## y_new[1,27]    12.0     0.0  1.9    8.2   11.9   15.7  4180    1
## y_new[1,28]    12.1     0.0  2.0    8.3   12.1   15.9  4317    1
## y_new[1,29]    12.1     0.0  2.0    8.2   12.1   16.0  4313    1
## y_new[1,30]    12.2     0.0  2.0    8.5   12.2   16.0  3917    1
## y_new[1,31]    12.3     0.0  2.0    8.3   12.3   16.1  4278    1
## y_new[1,32]    12.3     0.0  2.0    8.3   12.3   16.1  4389    1
## y_new[1,33]    12.4     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.4   16.3  4328    1
## y_new[1,34]    12.5     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.4   16.4  4259    1
## y_new[1,35]    12.5     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.6   16.5  4014    1
## y_new[1,36]    12.5     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.4   16.3  4504    1
## y_new[1,37]    12.6     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.6   16.5  4123    1
## y_new[1,38]    12.6     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.6   16.4  4204    1
## y_new[1,39]    12.6     0.0  2.0    8.5   12.6   16.6  4343    1
## y_new[1,40]    12.7     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.7   16.7  4473    1
## y_new[1,41]    12.6     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.6   16.7  4518    1
## y_new[1,42]    12.7     0.0  2.0    8.8   12.7   16.7  4096    1
## y_new[1,43]    12.7     0.0  2.0    8.8   12.7   16.6  3775    1
## y_new[1,44]    12.8     0.0  2.1    8.7   12.7   16.8  4559    1
## y_new[1,45]    12.8     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.8   16.7  3990    1
## y_new[1,46]    12.7     0.0  2.0    8.8   12.8   16.7  4381    1
## y_new[1,47]    12.8     0.0  2.1    8.7   12.8   16.8  3588    1
## y_new[1,48]    12.8     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.8   16.9  4232    1
## y_new[1,49]    12.8     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.8   16.8  4392    1
## y_new[1,50]    12.8     0.0  2.0    8.8   12.9   16.8  4548    1
## y_new[1,51]    12.8     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.8   16.9  4473    1
## y_new[1,52]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.9   17.0  4318    1
## y_new[1,53]    12.8     0.0  2.1    8.7   12.8   17.0  4491    1
## y_new[1,54]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.7   12.9   17.0  4335    1
## y_new[1,55]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.8   17.0  4217    1
## y_new[1,56]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.9   17.1  4322    1
## y_new[1,57]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.9   16.9  4265    1
## y_new[1,58]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.9   12.9   17.1  4544    1
## y_new[1,59]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.9   16.9  4186    1
## y_new[1,60]    12.9     0.0  2.1    8.8   12.9   17.0  4121    1
## y_new[2,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.4  3969    1
## y_new[2,2]      0.9     0.0  1.7   -2.6    0.9    4.4  4014    1
## y_new[2,3]      1.6     0.0  1.8   -2.0    1.6    5.0  3962    1
## y_new[2,4]      2.3     0.0  1.8   -1.3    2.2    5.9  4275    1
## y_new[2,5]      2.9     0.0  1.9   -0.7    2.9    6.6  3578    1
## y_new[2,6]      3.4     0.0  1.9   -0.2    3.4    7.1  4026    1
## y_new[2,7]      3.9     0.0  1.9    0.2    3.9    7.6  4019    1
## y_new[2,8]      4.3     0.0  1.9    0.5    4.3    7.9  4150    1
## y_new[2,9]      4.7     0.0  1.9    0.9    4.7    8.5  4079    1
## y_new[2,10]     5.0     0.0  1.9    1.3    5.0    8.6  3852    1
## y_new[2,11]     5.3     0.0  2.0    1.5    5.3    9.2  4255    1
## y_new[2,12]     5.6     0.0  1.9    1.7    5.6    9.4  4067    1
## y_new[2,13]     5.8     0.0  1.9    2.0    5.8    9.5  4139    1
## y_new[2,14]     6.0     0.0  1.9    2.3    6.0    9.7  4013    1
## y_new[2,15]     6.2     0.0  1.9    2.3    6.2    9.9  4040    1
## y_new[2,16]     6.4     0.0  1.9    2.5    6.4   10.2  3998    1
## y_new[2,17]     6.5     0.0  1.9    2.9    6.5   10.3  3877    1
## y_new[2,18]     6.7     0.0  1.9    3.0    6.6   10.4  4479    1
## y_new[2,19]     6.8     0.0  1.9    2.9    6.8   10.6  4042    1
## y_new[2,20]     6.8     0.0  1.9    3.2    6.9   10.6  4210    1
## y_new[2,21]     7.0     0.0  1.9    3.2    7.0   10.7  3999    1
## y_new[2,22]     7.1     0.0  1.9    3.3    7.1   10.9  4166    1
## y_new[2,23]     7.2     0.0  1.9    3.6    7.1   11.0  4149    1
## y_new[2,24]     7.3     0.0  1.9    3.6    7.3   10.9  4089    1
## y_new[2,25]     7.4     0.0  1.9    3.6    7.4   11.0  4252    1
## y_new[2,26]     7.4     0.0  1.9    3.7    7.4   11.3  4094    1
## y_new[2,27]     7.5     0.0  1.9    3.7    7.5   11.3  4368    1
## y_new[2,28]     7.5     0.0  1.9    3.8    7.5   11.4  3868    1
## y_new[2,29]     7.5     0.0  1.9    3.7    7.5   11.4  4020    1
## y_new[2,30]     7.6     0.0  2.0    3.8    7.6   11.4  4175    1
## y_new[2,31]     7.7     0.0  1.9    3.9    7.6   11.4  3955    1
## y_new[2,32]     7.7     0.0  1.9    3.8    7.6   11.5  4418    1
## y_new[2,33]     7.7     0.0  2.0    3.9    7.7   11.6  4238    1
## y_new[2,34]     7.8     0.0  1.9    4.0    7.7   11.6  3946    1
## y_new[2,35]     7.8     0.0  2.0    3.9    7.8   11.6  4250    1
## y_new[2,36]     7.8     0.0  2.0    4.1    7.8   11.6  4035    1
## y_new[2,37]     7.8     0.0  2.0    3.9    7.8   11.8  4307    1
## y_new[2,38]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.1    7.8   11.8  4035    1
## y_new[2,39]     7.9     0.0  2.0    3.9    7.9   11.7  4244    1
## y_new[2,40]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.9   11.7  4369    1
## y_new[2,41]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.1    7.8   11.8  4191    1
## y_new[2,42]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.9   12.0  4293    1
## y_new[2,43]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.9   11.7  4143    1
## y_new[2,44]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.9   11.9  4198    1
## y_new[2,45]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.0    8.0   11.9  4066    1
## y_new[2,46]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.2    8.0   12.0  4196    1
## y_new[2,47]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.0    8.0   12.1  4310    1
## y_new[2,48]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.1  4204    1
## y_new[2,49]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.0  4429    1
## y_new[2,50]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.0    8.0   12.0  4090    1
## y_new[2,51]     8.0     0.0  2.1    3.9    8.0   12.0  4191    1
## y_new[2,52]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.1  4158    1
## y_new[2,53]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.1  3917    1
## y_new[2,54]     8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.0  4212    1
## y_new[2,55]     8.1     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.1   12.0  4304    1
## y_new[2,56]     8.1     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   12.0  4098    1
## y_new[2,57]     8.1     0.0  2.1    4.1    8.0   12.2  4094    1
## y_new[2,58]     8.1     0.0  2.1    4.2    8.1   12.3  4275    1
## y_new[2,59]     8.1     0.0  2.1    4.0    8.1   12.2  4255    1
## y_new[2,60]     8.1     0.0  2.1    4.1    8.1   12.2  3776    1
## y_new[3,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.5    0.0    3.3  4037    1
## y_new[3,2]      2.8     0.0  1.8   -0.8    2.8    6.2  3708    1
## y_new[3,3]      5.2     0.0  1.8    1.6    5.3    8.8  3801    1
## y_new[3,4]      7.4     0.0  1.9    3.8    7.4   11.1  4178    1
## y_new[3,5]      9.3     0.0  1.9    5.7    9.3   13.2  3927    1
## y_new[3,6]     11.0     0.0  2.0    7.1   11.0   14.8  4264    1
## y_new[3,7]     12.4     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.4   16.3  4222    1
## y_new[3,8]     13.8     0.0  2.0    9.8   13.7   17.8  4569    1
## y_new[3,9]     14.8     0.0  2.0   10.8   14.8   18.8  3493    1
## y_new[3,10]    16.0     0.0  2.0   12.0   16.0   19.9  4319    1
## y_new[3,11]    16.8     0.0  2.0   12.9   16.8   20.9  4145    1
## y_new[3,12]    17.5     0.0  1.9   13.8   17.6   21.3  4444    1
## y_new[3,13]    18.3     0.0  2.0   14.4   18.3   22.2  4012    1
## y_new[3,14]    18.9     0.0  2.0   15.0   18.9   22.8  3891    1
## y_new[3,15]    19.5     0.0  1.9   15.9   19.5   23.2  4039    1
## y_new[3,16]    19.9     0.0  1.9   16.0   19.9   23.7  3954    1
## y_new[3,17]    20.4     0.0  1.9   16.7   20.4   24.0  3699    1
## y_new[3,18]    20.8     0.0  1.9   16.9   20.8   24.5  4272    1
## y_new[3,19]    21.1     0.0  1.9   17.4   21.1   24.9  4186    1
## y_new[3,20]    21.5     0.0  1.9   17.7   21.5   25.0  4261    1
## y_new[3,21]    21.7     0.0  2.0   17.8   21.7   25.6  4084    1
## y_new[3,22]    22.0     0.0  1.9   18.2   22.0   25.6  3990    1
## y_new[3,23]    22.2     0.0  1.9   18.5   22.2   26.0  4337    1
## y_new[3,24]    22.3     0.0  1.9   18.6   22.3   26.1  4175    1
## y_new[3,25]    22.5     0.0  1.9   18.7   22.5   26.3  3777    1
## y_new[3,26]    22.7     0.0  1.9   18.9   22.7   26.5  3831    1
## y_new[3,27]    22.8     0.0  2.0   18.9   22.8   26.6  4254    1
## y_new[3,28]    22.9     0.0  2.0   19.1   22.8   26.9  4279    1
## y_new[3,29]    23.0     0.0  2.0   19.3   23.1   26.9  4477    1
## y_new[3,30]    23.1     0.0  2.0   19.1   23.1   27.0  4287    1
## y_new[3,31]    23.2     0.0  2.0   19.3   23.2   27.1  4336    1
## y_new[3,32]    23.3     0.0  2.0   19.3   23.3   27.3  4496    1
## y_new[3,33]    23.3     0.0  2.0   19.4   23.4   27.2  4192    1
## y_new[3,34]    23.4     0.0  1.9   19.6   23.4   27.3  4525    1
## y_new[3,35]    23.5     0.0  2.0   19.5   23.5   27.4  4173    1
## y_new[3,36]    23.5     0.0  2.0   19.6   23.5   27.6  4542    1
## y_new[3,37]    23.5     0.0  2.0   19.6   23.6   27.5  4221    1
## y_new[3,38]    23.6     0.0  2.0   19.6   23.6   27.5  4312    1
## y_new[3,39]    23.6     0.0  2.0   19.6   23.6   27.5  4318    1
## y_new[3,40]    23.6     0.0  2.1   19.4   23.6   27.7  4521    1
## y_new[3,41]    23.7     0.0  2.0   19.7   23.7   27.6  4442    1
## y_new[3,42]    23.7     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.7   27.9  4236    1
## y_new[3,43]    23.7     0.0  2.0   19.7   23.7   27.6  4420    1
## y_new[3,44]    23.7     0.0  2.1   19.6   23.7   27.7  4222    1
## y_new[3,45]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   27.8  4608    1
## y_new[3,46]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   27.9  4392    1
## y_new[3,47]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.8   23.8   27.9  4443    1
## y_new[3,48]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.6   23.8   28.0  4641    1
## y_new[3,49]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   27.9  4521    1
## y_new[3,50]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.8   23.8   27.8  4179    1
## y_new[3,51]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   28.0  4379    1
## y_new[3,52]    23.8     0.0  2.0   19.9   23.8   27.8  4345    1
## y_new[3,53]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.6   23.8   27.8  3944    1
## y_new[3,54]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   28.0  4314    1
## y_new[3,55]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.8   23.8   27.8  4311    1
## y_new[3,56]    23.8     0.0  2.0   19.7   23.9   27.8  4224    1
## y_new[3,57]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   28.0  4432    1
## y_new[3,58]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.8   28.0  4342    1
## y_new[3,59]    23.9     0.0  2.1   19.7   23.9   28.0  4555    1
## y_new[3,60]    23.8     0.0  2.1   19.9   23.8   28.0  4479    1
## y_new[4,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.4  4056    1
## y_new[4,2]      3.2     0.0  1.8   -0.2    3.2    6.7  4072    1
## y_new[4,3]      6.0     0.0  1.8    2.5    6.0    9.7  4190    1
## y_new[4,4]      8.5     0.0  1.9    4.8    8.5   12.0  4298    1
## y_new[4,5]     10.6     0.0  2.0    6.9   10.6   14.7  4228    1
## y_new[4,6]     12.5     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.5   16.3  4242    1
## y_new[4,7]     14.2     0.0  2.0   10.3   14.2   18.3  3925    1
## y_new[4,8]     15.7     0.0  2.0   11.6   15.7   19.6  4224    1
## y_new[4,9]     16.8     0.0  2.0   12.9   16.9   21.0  4323    1
## y_new[4,10]    18.0     0.0  2.0   14.1   18.0   21.9  4043    1
## y_new[4,11]    19.0     0.0  2.0   15.0   19.0   22.9  4145    1
## y_new[4,12]    19.8     0.0  2.0   15.9   19.8   23.6  4297    1
## y_new[4,13]    20.5     0.0  1.9   16.6   20.5   24.2  4171    1
## y_new[4,14]    21.2     0.0  1.9   17.3   21.2   24.9  4220    1
## y_new[4,15]    21.7     0.0  1.9   18.1   21.7   25.5  4167    1
## y_new[4,16]    22.3     0.0  1.9   18.5   22.3   26.1  3958    1
## y_new[4,17]    22.6     0.0  1.9   18.8   22.6   26.5  3835    1
## y_new[4,18]    23.1     0.0  1.9   19.3   23.1   26.8  4056    1
## y_new[4,19]    23.4     0.0  1.9   19.6   23.5   27.2  4152    1
## y_new[4,20]    23.7     0.0  1.9   20.1   23.7   27.4  4300    1
## y_new[4,21]    23.9     0.0  1.9   20.2   24.0   27.6  4126    1
## y_new[4,22]    24.2     0.0  1.9   20.6   24.2   27.9  4088    1
## y_new[4,23]    24.4     0.0  1.9   20.7   24.4   28.1  4445    1
## y_new[4,24]    24.5     0.0  1.9   20.8   24.5   28.3  4439    1
## y_new[4,25]    24.7     0.0  1.9   20.9   24.7   28.4  3999    1
## y_new[4,26]    24.9     0.0  2.0   21.2   24.9   28.8  4163    1
## y_new[4,27]    25.0     0.0  2.0   21.1   25.0   28.7  4287    1
## y_new[4,28]    25.1     0.0  2.0   21.2   25.2   29.0  4253    1
## y_new[4,29]    25.2     0.0  2.0   21.3   25.2   29.1  4048    1
## y_new[4,30]    25.3     0.0  2.0   21.4   25.3   29.1  4141    1
## y_new[4,31]    25.4     0.0  2.0   21.6   25.3   29.3  4445    1
## y_new[4,32]    25.4     0.0  2.0   21.5   25.4   29.2  4203    1
## y_new[4,33]    25.5     0.0  2.0   21.6   25.5   29.4  4501    1
## y_new[4,34]    25.5     0.0  2.0   21.6   25.5   29.4  4572    1
## y_new[4,35]    25.6     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.6   29.5  4335    1
## y_new[4,36]    25.6     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.6   29.5  4031    1
## y_new[4,37]    25.6     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.6   29.4  4392    1
## y_new[4,38]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.7   29.8  4251    1
## y_new[4,39]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.7   29.7  4209    1
## y_new[4,40]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.7   29.6  4598    1
## y_new[4,41]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.7   29.8  4114    1
## y_new[4,42]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.7   29.7  4156    1
## y_new[4,43]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.9   25.8   29.8  4096    1
## y_new[4,44]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.8   29.8  4350    1
## y_new[4,45]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.7   29.8  4210    1
## y_new[4,46]    25.7     0.0  2.1   21.6   25.7   29.7  4021    1
## y_new[4,47]    25.8     0.0  2.1   21.9   25.8   29.9  3971    1
## y_new[4,48]    25.8     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.8   29.9  4358    1
## y_new[4,49]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.8   29.8  3711    1
## y_new[4,50]    25.9     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.9   29.9  4667    1
## y_new[4,51]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.9   25.8   29.9  4027    1
## y_new[4,52]    25.8     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.8   29.9  4324    1
## y_new[4,53]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.9   25.8   29.9  4466    1
## y_new[4,54]    25.9     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.8   29.9  4351    1
## y_new[4,55]    25.9     0.0  2.1   22.0   25.8   30.1  3922    1
## y_new[4,56]    25.9     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.9   29.9  4539    1
## y_new[4,57]    25.9     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.9   29.9  4310    1
## y_new[4,58]    25.9     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.8   30.1  3965    1
## y_new[4,59]    25.8     0.0  2.1   21.8   25.8   30.0  4021    1
## y_new[4,60]    25.8     0.0  2.0   21.8   25.8   29.9  3860    1
## y_new[5,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.5    0.1    3.3  3926    1
## y_new[5,2]      1.1     0.0  1.7   -2.3    1.1    4.4  3548    1
## y_new[5,3]      2.0     0.0  1.8   -1.4    2.0    5.6  4304    1
## y_new[5,4]      3.0     0.0  1.8   -0.5    2.9    6.7  3916    1
## y_new[5,5]      3.8     0.0  1.8    0.1    3.7    7.3  4023    1
## y_new[5,6]      4.5     0.0  1.9    0.8    4.5    8.2  3903    1
## y_new[5,7]      5.2     0.0  1.9    1.5    5.2    9.1  3822    1
## y_new[5,8]      5.8     0.0  1.9    2.1    5.8    9.7  4055    1
## y_new[5,9]      6.4     0.0  2.0    2.5    6.4   10.4  3861    1
## y_new[5,10]     7.0     0.0  2.0    3.1    7.0   10.9  4049    1
## y_new[5,11]     7.5     0.0  2.0    3.7    7.5   11.5  3901    1
## y_new[5,12]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.2    7.9   11.9  3921    1
## y_new[5,13]     8.4     0.0  2.0    4.6    8.4   12.4  4219    1
## y_new[5,14]     8.8     0.0  2.0    4.8    8.8   12.8  3757    1
## y_new[5,15]     9.2     0.0  2.0    5.3    9.2   13.2  3845    1
## y_new[5,16]     9.5     0.0  2.0    5.7    9.5   13.5  3926    1
## y_new[5,17]     9.9     0.0  1.9    6.0    9.9   13.7  3744    1
## y_new[5,18]    10.2     0.0  2.0    6.3   10.2   14.0  3897    1
## y_new[5,19]    10.4     0.0  1.9    6.6   10.5   14.2  3524    1
## y_new[5,20]    10.7     0.0  2.0    6.7   10.7   14.5  3824    1
## y_new[5,21]    10.9     0.0  2.0    7.0   11.0   14.8  3919    1
## y_new[5,22]    11.2     0.0  1.9    7.3   11.1   15.0  3778    1
## y_new[5,23]    11.4     0.0  1.9    7.6   11.4   15.1  4277    1
## y_new[5,24]    11.6     0.0  2.0    7.7   11.6   15.4  3477    1
## y_new[5,25]    11.7     0.0  1.9    7.8   11.8   15.6  4123    1
## y_new[5,26]    11.9     0.0  1.9    8.1   11.9   15.5  3892    1
## y_new[5,27]    12.0     0.0  2.0    8.1   12.0   15.8  4100    1
## y_new[5,28]    12.2     0.0  1.9    8.4   12.2   16.0  3906    1
## y_new[5,29]    12.3     0.0  2.0    8.4   12.3   16.2  3995    1
## y_new[5,30]    12.5     0.0  1.9    8.8   12.5   16.2  4126    1
## y_new[5,31]    12.6     0.0  1.9    8.8   12.6   16.3  4262    1
## y_new[5,32]    12.7     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.7   16.6  3747    1
## y_new[5,33]    12.8     0.0  2.0    9.0   12.8   16.9  3937    1
## y_new[5,34]    12.9     0.0  2.0    8.9   13.0   16.8  3999    1
## y_new[5,35]    13.0     0.0  2.0    9.1   13.0   16.8  3973    1
## y_new[5,36]    13.1     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.1   17.1  4375    1
## y_new[5,37]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.2   17.2  4170    1
## y_new[5,38]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.2   17.2  4080    1
## y_new[5,39]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.4   17.4  4114    1
## y_new[5,40]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.4   17.3  4153    1
## y_new[5,41]    13.4     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.4   17.4  4202    1
## y_new[5,42]    13.4     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.4   17.4  3889    1
## y_new[5,43]    13.5     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.5   17.5  3994    1
## y_new[5,44]    13.6     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.5   17.8  4100    1
## y_new[5,45]    13.7     0.0  2.1    9.5   13.6   17.6  4304    1
## y_new[5,46]    13.6     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.7   17.8  3802    1
## y_new[5,47]    13.7     0.0  2.1    9.6   13.7   17.8  3781    1
## y_new[5,48]    13.8     0.0  2.1    9.6   13.8   17.9  4145    1
## y_new[5,49]    13.8     0.0  2.2    9.5   13.8   17.9  3585    1
## y_new[5,50]    13.9     0.0  2.1    9.6   13.9   18.2  3807    1
## y_new[5,51]    13.9     0.0  2.1    9.7   13.9   17.9  4134    1
## y_new[5,52]    13.9     0.0  2.2    9.8   13.9   18.3  3879    1
## y_new[5,53]    13.9     0.0  2.2    9.8   13.9   18.0  4011    1
## y_new[5,54]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.6   14.0   18.2  4396    1
## y_new[5,55]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.6   14.0   18.3  4050    1
## y_new[5,56]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.6   14.0   18.2  3702    1
## y_new[5,57]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.8   14.0   18.2  3940    1
## y_new[5,58]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.6   14.0   18.3  3947    1
## y_new[5,59]    14.0     0.0  2.2    9.7   14.0   18.5  3870    1
## y_new[5,60]    14.1     0.0  2.2    9.8   14.1   18.5  4282    1
## y_new[6,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.6  4177    1
## y_new[6,2]      1.4     0.0  1.7   -2.0    1.4    4.8  4166    1
## y_new[6,3]      2.7     0.0  1.8   -0.7    2.7    6.4  3879    1
## y_new[6,4]      3.9     0.0  1.9    0.2    3.9    7.6  3788    1
## y_new[6,5]      4.9     0.0  2.0    1.1    4.9    8.9  4310    1
## y_new[6,6]      5.9     0.0  2.0    2.1    5.9    9.9  3971    1
## y_new[6,7]      6.8     0.0  2.1    2.9    6.7   11.0  4210    1
## y_new[6,8]      7.5     0.0  2.0    3.5    7.5   11.4  4223    1
## y_new[6,9]      8.3     0.0  2.1    4.2    8.3   12.5  4103    1
## y_new[6,10]     8.9     0.0  2.1    4.8    8.8   12.9  4329    1
## y_new[6,11]     9.5     0.0  2.0    5.5    9.5   13.6  4069    1
## y_new[6,12]    10.0     0.0  2.1    5.9   10.0   14.1  4355    1
## y_new[6,13]    10.5     0.0  2.1    6.5   10.5   14.7  3921    1
## y_new[6,14]    10.9     0.0  2.0    6.8   10.8   14.8  3851    1
## y_new[6,15]    11.3     0.0  2.0    7.5   11.3   15.2  3847    1
## y_new[6,16]    11.6     0.0  2.0    7.8   11.7   15.5  4151    1
## y_new[6,17]    12.1     0.0  2.0    8.0   12.1   15.8  4049    1
## y_new[6,18]    12.3     0.0  2.0    8.6   12.3   16.3  4052    1
## y_new[6,19]    12.6     0.0  1.9    8.7   12.6   16.4  4075    1
## y_new[6,20]    12.8     0.0  2.0    9.0   12.9   16.6  4033    1
## y_new[6,21]    13.1     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.0   17.1  3953    1
## y_new[6,22]    13.3     0.0  1.9    9.5   13.3   17.0  4080    1
## y_new[6,23]    13.5     0.0  1.9    9.7   13.5   17.3  4155    1
## y_new[6,24]    13.6     0.0  1.9    9.7   13.6   17.4  4143    1
## y_new[6,25]    13.8     0.0  1.9   10.0   13.8   17.6  3808    1
## y_new[6,26]    14.0     0.0  1.9   10.2   14.0   17.9  3906    1
## y_new[6,27]    14.1     0.0  1.9   10.3   14.1   17.8  4023    1
## y_new[6,28]    14.2     0.0  1.9   10.3   14.2   18.0  4243    1
## y_new[6,29]    14.4     0.0  1.9   10.6   14.4   18.1  3869    1
## y_new[6,30]    14.4     0.0  2.0   10.5   14.5   18.2  3632    1
## y_new[6,31]    14.6     0.0  2.0   10.8   14.6   18.5  3727    1
## y_new[6,32]    14.6     0.0  2.0   10.7   14.6   18.4  3875    1
## y_new[6,33]    14.7     0.0  2.0   10.7   14.7   18.7  3991    1
## y_new[6,34]    14.8     0.0  2.0   10.7   14.8   18.8  4333    1
## y_new[6,35]    14.9     0.0  2.0   10.8   14.9   18.8  4049    1
## y_new[6,36]    14.9     0.0  2.0   10.9   14.9   18.9  4132    1
## y_new[6,37]    14.9     0.0  2.0   11.0   14.9   18.8  4004    1
## y_new[6,38]    15.0     0.0  2.0   11.0   15.0   19.0  4469    1
## y_new[6,39]    15.0     0.0  2.0   11.0   15.1   19.1  4313    1
## y_new[6,40]    15.2     0.0  2.1   11.2   15.2   19.3  4215    1
## y_new[6,41]    15.1     0.0  2.1   11.0   15.2   19.1  4271    1
## y_new[6,42]    15.2     0.0  2.1   11.2   15.2   19.2  3963    1
## y_new[6,43]    15.2     0.0  2.1   11.1   15.2   19.5  3827    1
## y_new[6,44]    15.3     0.0  2.1   11.1   15.3   19.5  4293    1
## y_new[6,45]    15.3     0.0  2.1   11.2   15.3   19.4  3987    1
## y_new[6,46]    15.3     0.0  2.1   11.2   15.3   19.6  3393    1
## y_new[6,47]    15.4     0.0  2.1   11.2   15.4   19.6  3607    1
## y_new[6,48]    15.4     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.4   19.5  3959    1
## y_new[6,49]    15.4     0.0  2.2   11.2   15.4   19.8  4404    1
## y_new[6,50]    15.4     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.4   19.8  3983    1
## y_new[6,51]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.5   19.7  4273    1
## y_new[6,52]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.3   15.4   19.9  3979    1
## y_new[6,53]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.5   19.9  3521    1
## y_new[6,54]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.4   15.5   20.0  3721    1
## y_new[6,55]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.5   19.9  4012    1
## y_new[6,56]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.1   15.6   19.9  3590    1
## y_new[6,57]    15.5     0.0  2.2   11.4   15.5   19.9  4077    1
## y_new[6,58]    15.6     0.0  2.2   11.2   15.6   19.9  3730    1
## y_new[6,59]    15.6     0.0  2.2   11.2   15.6   20.0  4143    1
## y_new[6,60]    15.6     0.0  2.2   11.4   15.5   20.0  3835    1
## y_new[7,1]      0.0     0.0  1.8   -3.6    0.0    3.4  3764    1
## y_new[7,2]      1.4     0.0  1.7   -1.9    1.4    4.9  4214    1
## y_new[7,3]      2.7     0.0  1.8   -0.7    2.6    6.2  3994    1
## y_new[7,4]      3.7     0.0  1.9    0.1    3.8    7.5  3948    1
## y_new[7,5]      4.8     0.0  1.9    1.1    4.9    8.5  4099    1
## y_new[7,6]      5.8     0.0  1.9    2.0    5.8    9.6  3937    1
## y_new[7,7]      6.6     0.0  2.0    2.7    6.7   10.7  4142    1
## y_new[7,8]      7.3     0.0  2.0    3.6    7.3   11.2  4097    1
## y_new[7,9]      8.0     0.0  2.0    4.1    8.0   11.9  3828    1
## y_new[7,10]     8.6     0.0  2.0    4.6    8.6   12.6  4233    1
## y_new[7,11]     9.1     0.0  2.0    5.1    9.2   13.0  3951    1
## y_new[7,12]     9.7     0.0  2.0    5.8    9.7   13.6  3924    1
## y_new[7,13]    10.2     0.0  2.0    6.5   10.2   14.2  3675    1
## y_new[7,14]    10.5     0.0  2.0    6.6   10.5   14.6  3740    1
## y_new[7,15]    11.0     0.0  2.0    7.3   10.9   14.8  3937    1
## y_new[7,16]    11.3     0.0  2.0    7.4   11.3   15.1  4105    1
## y_new[7,17]    11.6     0.0  2.0    7.7   11.6   15.4  3945    1
## y_new[7,18]    11.9     0.0  1.9    8.0   11.9   15.6  3943    1
## y_new[7,19]    12.2     0.0  1.9    8.3   12.2   16.0  3792    1
## y_new[7,20]    12.4     0.0  1.9    8.7   12.4   16.2  3876    1
## y_new[7,21]    12.7     0.0  1.9    8.9   12.7   16.5  3915    1
## y_new[7,22]    12.8     0.0  1.9    9.1   12.8   16.6  4017    1
## y_new[7,23]    12.9     0.0  1.9    9.1   12.9   16.7  3912    1
## y_new[7,24]    13.1     0.0  2.0    9.1   13.1   16.9  3768    1
## y_new[7,25]    13.2     0.0  1.9    9.5   13.2   17.0  3621    1
## y_new[7,26]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.5   13.3   17.2  4063    1
## y_new[7,27]    13.5     0.0  1.9    9.8   13.5   17.3  4195    1
## y_new[7,28]    13.6     0.0  2.0    9.8   13.7   17.4  3625    1
## y_new[7,29]    13.7     0.0  2.0    9.9   13.7   17.6  4014    1
## y_new[7,30]    13.9     0.0  1.9   10.1   13.8   17.7  4201    1
## y_new[7,31]    13.9     0.0  2.0   10.1   13.9   17.8  4244    1
## y_new[7,32]    14.0     0.0  2.0   10.0   13.9   17.8  3991    1
## y_new[7,33]    14.1     0.0  2.0   10.1   14.1   17.9  3841    1
## y_new[7,34]    14.1     0.0  2.0   10.2   14.1   18.1  3985    1
## y_new[7,35]    14.2     0.0  2.0   10.2   14.2   18.2  4089    1
## y_new[7,36]    14.2     0.0  2.0   10.3   14.2   18.2  3636    1
## y_new[7,37]    14.3     0.0  2.0   10.2   14.4   18.2  3679    1
## y_new[7,38]    14.4     0.0  2.0   10.4   14.4   18.4  4214    1
## y_new[7,39]    14.4     0.0  2.0   10.4   14.4   18.2  3715    1
## y_new[7,40]    14.4     0.0  2.1   10.1   14.4   18.5  3785    1
## y_new[7,41]    14.5     0.0  2.0   10.5   14.5   18.4  4127    1
## y_new[7,42]    14.5     0.0  2.1   10.5   14.6   18.6  4166    1
## y_new[7,43]    14.5     0.0  2.1   10.4   14.5   18.7  4267    1
## y_new[7,44]    14.5     0.0  2.1   10.3   14.5   18.7  4134    1
## y_new[7,45]    14.6     0.0  2.1   10.4   14.6   18.7  4083    1
## y_new[7,46]    14.6     0.0  2.1   10.4   14.6   18.8  4370    1
## y_new[7,47]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.6   14.6   18.9  4346    1
## y_new[7,48]    14.6     0.0  2.1   10.4   14.6   18.8  3942    1
## y_new[7,49]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.6   14.7   18.8  4262    1
## y_new[7,50]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.5   14.6   18.7  4010    1
## y_new[7,51]    14.7     0.0  2.2   10.5   14.6   19.0  4455    1
## y_new[7,52]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.6   14.7   19.0  4450    1
## y_new[7,53]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.6   14.7   18.9  4006    1
## y_new[7,54]    14.7     0.0  2.2   10.5   14.8   18.9  4346    1
## y_new[7,55]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.4   14.7   18.9  4274    1
## y_new[7,56]    14.7     0.0  2.2   10.6   14.8   19.1  4139    1
## y_new[7,57]    14.7     0.0  2.1   10.5   14.7   19.0  4156    1
## y_new[7,58]    14.8     0.0  2.2   10.6   14.8   19.0  4299    1
## y_new[7,59]    14.8     0.0  2.2   10.7   14.7   19.1  4343    1
## y_new[7,60]    14.8     0.0  2.2   10.5   14.8   19.0  4431    1
## y_new[8,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4   -0.1    3.4  3974    1
## y_new[8,2]      1.8     0.0  1.8   -1.6    1.8    5.3  3857    1
## y_new[8,3]      3.3     0.0  1.9   -0.4    3.3    7.1  4047    1
## y_new[8,4]      4.7     0.0  1.9    0.8    4.7    8.5  4088    1
## y_new[8,5]      5.8     0.0  2.0    2.0    5.8    9.9  4425    1
## y_new[8,6]      6.8     0.0  2.0    3.0    6.8   10.9  3713    1
## y_new[8,7]      7.6     0.0  2.0    3.7    7.6   11.7  4241    1
## y_new[8,8]      8.4     0.0  2.0    4.4    8.4   12.5  4400    1
## y_new[8,9]      9.1     0.0  2.0    5.1    9.1   13.0  3623    1
## y_new[8,10]     9.5     0.0  2.0    5.5    9.5   13.4  4344    1
## y_new[8,11]    10.0     0.0  2.0    6.2   10.0   13.8  4008    1
## y_new[8,12]    10.5     0.0  2.0    6.6   10.4   14.5  4434    1
## y_new[8,13]    10.8     0.0  2.0    7.0   10.8   14.6  3760    1
## y_new[8,14]    11.1     0.0  1.9    7.3   11.2   14.9  3627    1
## y_new[8,15]    11.4     0.0  1.9    7.6   11.4   15.1  4028    1
## y_new[8,16]    11.7     0.0  1.9    7.8   11.7   15.4  4171    1
## y_new[8,17]    11.8     0.0  1.9    8.2   11.8   15.7  4274    1
## y_new[8,18]    12.0     0.0  1.9    8.3   12.0   15.7  4286    1
## y_new[8,19]    12.2     0.0  1.9    8.5   12.2   15.9  4013    1
## y_new[8,20]    12.3     0.0  1.9    8.4   12.3   16.1  4211    1
## y_new[8,21]    12.4     0.0  1.9    8.6   12.4   16.3  4049    1
## y_new[8,22]    12.5     0.0  1.9    8.7   12.5   16.3  3921    1
## y_new[8,23]    12.6     0.0  1.9    8.9   12.6   16.4  4270    1
## y_new[8,24]    12.7     0.0  1.9    8.9   12.7   16.5  4255    1
## y_new[8,25]    12.8     0.0  2.0    8.8   12.8   16.7  4227    1
## y_new[8,26]    12.9     0.0  1.9    9.1   12.9   16.7  4020    1
## y_new[8,27]    12.9     0.0  1.9    9.0   12.9   16.7  4217    1
## y_new[8,28]    13.0     0.0  1.9    9.1   13.0   16.7  3954    1
## y_new[8,29]    13.0     0.0  1.9    9.2   13.0   16.8  4179    1
## y_new[8,30]    13.0     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.0   16.8  4056    1
## y_new[8,31]    13.1     0.0  1.9    9.2   13.1   17.0  4226    1
## y_new[8,32]    13.1     0.0  1.9    9.3   13.1   16.9  4271    1
## y_new[8,33]    13.1     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.1   17.2  4142    1
## y_new[8,34]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.2   17.2  4271    1
## y_new[8,35]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.2   17.3  4398    1
## y_new[8,36]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.2   17.0  3824    1
## y_new[8,37]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.2   17.3  4326    1
## y_new[8,38]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.2  3543    1
## y_new[8,39]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.2   17.3  3962    1
## y_new[8,40]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.2   17.3  4502    1
## y_new[8,41]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.2  4034    1
## y_new[8,42]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.3   17.1  4415    1
## y_new[8,43]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.3  4112    1
## y_new[8,44]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.3  3955    1
## y_new[8,45]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.3   17.4  4057    1
## y_new[8,46]    13.3     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.4  4058    1
## y_new[8,47]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.3   13.3   17.4  3859    1
## y_new[8,48]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.2   13.4   17.5  4026    1
## y_new[8,49]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.3   13.3   17.5  3917    1
## y_new[8,50]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.3   13.3   17.4  4350    1
## y_new[8,51]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.3   17.6  4178    1
## y_new[8,52]    13.4     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.3   17.3  4306    1
## y_new[8,53]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.1   13.4   17.4  4283    1
## y_new[8,54]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.5   13.4   17.5  4544    1
## y_new[8,55]    13.4     0.0  2.0    9.3   13.3   17.5  3867    1
## y_new[8,56]    13.4     0.0  2.0    9.4   13.4   17.4  4042    1
## y_new[8,57]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.2   13.4   17.4  4131    1
## y_new[8,58]    13.3     0.0  2.1    9.3   13.3   17.5  4159    1
## y_new[8,59]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.4   13.3   17.5  3752    1
## y_new[8,60]    13.4     0.0  2.1    9.2   13.4   17.5  3928    1
## y_new[9,1]      0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.5    0.0    3.3  4123    1
## y_new[9,2]      4.8     0.0  1.8    1.1    4.7    8.3  4139    1
## y_new[9,3]      8.8     0.0  1.9    5.1    8.8   12.5  3808    1
## y_new[9,4]     12.2     0.0  2.0    8.4   12.2   16.0  4379    1
## y_new[9,5]     15.1     0.0  2.0   11.2   15.0   19.1  4084    1
## y_new[9,6]     17.5     0.0  2.1   13.5   17.5   21.6  4314    1
## y_new[9,7]     19.7     0.0  2.1   15.6   19.7   23.8  4233    1
## y_new[9,8]     21.4     0.0  2.0   17.3   21.4   25.4  4256    1
## y_new[9,9]     23.0     0.0  2.1   19.0   23.0   26.9  4239    1
## y_new[9,10]    24.3     0.0  2.0   20.2   24.3   28.2  4141    1
## y_new[9,11]    25.3     0.0  2.0   21.4   25.4   29.2  3988    1
## y_new[9,12]    26.3     0.0  2.0   22.4   26.3   30.2  4220    1
## y_new[9,13]    27.1     0.0  2.0   23.2   27.1   31.0  4273    1
## y_new[9,14]    27.8     0.0  1.9   24.0   27.8   31.5  3369    1
## y_new[9,15]    28.4     0.0  2.0   24.7   28.4   32.2  4547    1
## y_new[9,16]    28.8     0.0  1.9   25.2   28.8   32.7  4183    1
## y_new[9,17]    29.3     0.0  1.9   25.6   29.4   33.1  4174    1
## y_new[9,18]    29.7     0.0  2.0   25.8   29.6   33.5  3779    1
## y_new[9,19]    30.0     0.0  1.9   26.2   30.0   33.8  4176    1
## y_new[9,20]    30.2     0.0  1.9   26.4   30.2   34.0  4236    1
## y_new[9,21]    30.5     0.0  1.9   26.7   30.5   34.2  3870    1
## y_new[9,22]    30.7     0.0  1.9   27.0   30.7   34.5  3897    1
## y_new[9,23]    30.8     0.0  1.9   27.0   30.8   34.5  4243    1
## y_new[9,24]    30.9     0.0  2.0   27.0   31.0   34.8  3703    1
## y_new[9,25]    31.1     0.0  1.9   27.3   31.1   35.0  3934    1
## y_new[9,26]    31.2     0.0  2.0   27.3   31.2   35.1  4285    1
## y_new[9,27]    31.3     0.0  2.0   27.5   31.3   35.1  4088    1
## y_new[9,28]    31.3     0.0  2.0   27.3   31.3   35.3  3938    1
## y_new[9,29]    31.4     0.0  2.0   27.6   31.4   35.3  4193    1
## y_new[9,30]    31.4     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.4   35.3  4193    1
## y_new[9,31]    31.6     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.6   35.4  3766    1
## y_new[9,32]    31.5     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.6   35.5  4197    1
## y_new[9,33]    31.6     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.6   35.5  3648    1
## y_new[9,34]    31.6     0.0  2.0   27.6   31.6   35.5  4005    1
## y_new[9,35]    31.6     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.6   35.6  4093    1
## y_new[9,36]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.5  4328    1
## y_new[9,37]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.6   35.7  4099    1
## y_new[9,38]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.6  4166    1
## y_new[9,39]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.7   35.6  3978    1
## y_new[9,40]    31.7     0.0  2.1   27.6   31.7   35.9  4279    1
## y_new[9,41]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.7   35.8  3880    1
## y_new[9,42]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.7  4363    1
## y_new[9,43]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.7   35.8  4167    1
## y_new[9,44]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.7   31.8   35.8  3880    1
## y_new[9,45]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.5   31.8   35.8  3848    1
## y_new[9,46]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.7   35.6  4227    1
## y_new[9,47]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.7  3976    1
## y_new[9,48]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.8   35.9  4196    1
## y_new[9,49]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.7  4078    1
## y_new[9,50]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.7   31.8   35.8  4419    1
## y_new[9,51]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.6   31.8   35.9  3444    1
## y_new[9,52]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.8   35.7  3965    1
## y_new[9,53]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.7   31.8   35.8  4523    1
## y_new[9,54]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.8  4380    1
## y_new[9,55]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.8  4095    1
## y_new[9,56]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.8  3642    1
## y_new[9,57]    31.7     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.6  4052    1
## y_new[9,58]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.8   31.7   35.8  3806    1
## y_new[9,59]    31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.7  4212    1
## y_new[9,60]    31.8     0.0  2.1   27.7   31.8   35.8  4340    1
## y_new[10,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.4  4013    1
## y_new[10,2]     2.8     0.0  1.8   -0.7    2.8    6.3  3433    1
## y_new[10,3]     5.2     0.0  1.8    1.5    5.1    8.8  3939    1
## y_new[10,4]     7.2     0.0  2.0    3.2    7.2   10.9  3309    1
## y_new[10,5]     8.8     0.0  2.0    5.0    8.8   12.7  4445    1
## y_new[10,6]    10.2     0.0  2.0    6.2   10.2   14.1  4026    1
## y_new[10,7]    11.4     0.0  2.0    7.5   11.3   15.3  4184    1
## y_new[10,8]    12.3     0.0  2.0    8.3   12.3   16.3  4414    1
## y_new[10,9]    13.2     0.0  2.0    9.2   13.2   17.2  4013    1
## y_new[10,10]   13.9     0.0  1.9   10.2   13.9   17.7  3936    1
## y_new[10,11]   14.5     0.0  2.0   10.6   14.5   18.3  4281    1
## y_new[10,12]   14.9     0.0  1.9   11.0   15.0   18.7  4016    1
## y_new[10,13]   15.4     0.0  1.9   11.7   15.4   19.2  4177    1
## y_new[10,14]   15.7     0.0  1.9   11.9   15.7   19.3  4302    1
## y_new[10,15]   16.1     0.0  2.0   12.1   16.1   20.0  3438    1
## y_new[10,16]   16.3     0.0  1.9   12.6   16.3   20.0  3865    1
## y_new[10,17]   16.6     0.0  1.9   12.8   16.6   20.2  4173    1
## y_new[10,18]   16.7     0.0  1.9   12.9   16.7   20.4  3688    1
## y_new[10,19]   16.9     0.0  1.9   13.2   16.9   20.5  4077    1
## y_new[10,20]   17.0     0.0  1.9   13.3   17.0   20.7  3852    1
## y_new[10,21]   17.1     0.0  2.0   13.3   17.1   21.0  4180    1
## y_new[10,22]   17.2     0.0  1.9   13.5   17.2   21.0  3662    1
## y_new[10,23]   17.3     0.0  1.9   13.6   17.4   21.1  3999    1
## y_new[10,24]   17.4     0.0  1.9   13.5   17.4   21.2  3807    1
## y_new[10,25]   17.5     0.0  1.9   13.7   17.5   21.2  4281    1
## y_new[10,26]   17.5     0.0  2.0   13.7   17.5   21.4  4008    1
## y_new[10,27]   17.5     0.0  1.9   13.6   17.5   21.2  4339    1
## y_new[10,28]   17.6     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.6   21.5  3990    1
## y_new[10,29]   17.6     0.0  2.0   13.5   17.6   21.4  3943    1
## y_new[10,30]   17.7     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.7   21.6  3918    1
## y_new[10,31]   17.7     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.6   21.6  4312    1
## y_new[10,32]   17.7     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.7   21.6  4492    1
## y_new[10,33]   17.7     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.7   21.6  4393    1
## y_new[10,34]   17.7     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.7   21.6  4379    1
## y_new[10,35]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.8  4387    1
## y_new[10,36]   17.7     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.7   21.7  4588    1
## y_new[10,37]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.8  4367    1
## y_new[10,38]   17.8     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.7   21.7  4334    1
## y_new[10,39]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.6  4261    1
## y_new[10,40]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.7  3991    1
## y_new[10,41]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.8  4243    1
## y_new[10,42]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.9  4192    1
## y_new[10,43]   17.8     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.9   21.7  4397    1
## y_new[10,44]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.6  4192    1
## y_new[10,45]   17.9     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.8   21.9  4632    1
## y_new[10,46]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.8   17.9   21.8  4541    1
## y_new[10,47]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.9  4432    1
## y_new[10,48]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.9  4654    1
## y_new[10,49]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.8  4732    1
## y_new[10,50]   17.8     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.8   21.8  4058    1
## y_new[10,51]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.8  4412    1
## y_new[10,52]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.9  4355    1
## y_new[10,53]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.8  4239    1
## y_new[10,54]   17.8     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.8   21.7  4116    1
## y_new[10,55]   17.9     0.0  2.0   14.1   17.9   21.9  3850    1
## y_new[10,56]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.7  4525    1
## y_new[10,57]   17.9     0.0  2.0   14.0   17.9   21.8  4283    1
## y_new[10,58]   17.8     0.0  2.1   13.8   17.8   21.9  4352    1
## y_new[10,59]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.9  4092    1
## y_new[10,60]   17.9     0.0  2.0   13.9   17.9   21.9  4029    1
## y_new[11,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.4  4137    1
## y_new[11,2]     2.9     0.0  1.8   -0.5    2.9    6.5  4177    1
## y_new[11,3]     5.4     0.0  1.9    1.7    5.3    9.1  4279    1
## y_new[11,4]     7.4     0.0  2.0    3.6    7.4   11.4  4447    1
## y_new[11,5]     9.2     0.0  2.0    5.2    9.2   13.3  4242    1
## y_new[11,6]    10.7     0.0  2.0    6.5   10.7   14.8  4447    1
## y_new[11,7]    12.0     0.0  2.0    8.2   12.0   16.0  4321    1
## y_new[11,8]    13.1     0.0  2.1    9.1   13.1   17.0  4292    1
## y_new[11,9]    14.0     0.0  2.0   10.1   14.0   17.9  4026    1
## y_new[11,10]   14.8     0.0  2.0   10.8   14.8   18.6  3809    1
## y_new[11,11]   15.5     0.0  2.0   11.6   15.5   19.4  4354    1
## y_new[11,12]   16.1     0.0  2.0   12.2   16.1   19.9  3745    1
## y_new[11,13]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.4  4030    1
## y_new[11,14]   16.9     0.0  1.9   13.1   17.0   20.7  4036    1
## y_new[11,15]   17.4     0.0  1.9   13.6   17.4   21.1  4146    1
## y_new[11,16]   17.7     0.0  1.9   13.9   17.7   21.5  4233    1
## y_new[11,17]   17.9     0.0  1.9   14.2   17.9   21.6  3918    1
## y_new[11,18]   18.2     0.0  1.9   14.5   18.1   21.8  4028    1
## y_new[11,19]   18.4     0.0  1.9   14.7   18.3   22.0  4407    1
## y_new[11,20]   18.5     0.0  1.9   14.7   18.5   22.3  4084    1
## y_new[11,21]   18.6     0.0  1.9   14.8   18.7   22.4  4082    1
## y_new[11,22]   18.8     0.0  1.9   15.1   18.8   22.7  4212    1
## y_new[11,23]   18.9     0.0  1.9   15.1   18.9   22.7  4497    1
## y_new[11,24]   19.0     0.0  1.9   15.3   19.0   22.8  4029    1
## y_new[11,25]   19.1     0.0  2.0   15.3   19.1   22.9  4005    1
## y_new[11,26]   19.1     0.0  2.0   15.2   19.1   23.0  3989    1
## y_new[11,27]   19.2     0.0  2.0   15.3   19.2   23.1  4009    1
## y_new[11,28]   19.3     0.0  2.0   15.5   19.3   23.3  4239    1
## y_new[11,29]   19.3     0.0  2.0   15.5   19.3   23.2  4528    1
## y_new[11,30]   19.3     0.0  2.0   15.4   19.3   23.3  4340    1
## y_new[11,31]   19.4     0.0  2.0   15.6   19.4   23.4  4035    1
## y_new[11,32]   19.4     0.0  2.0   15.4   19.4   23.4  4368    1
## y_new[11,33]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.6   19.5   23.4  3512    1
## y_new[11,34]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.7   19.5   23.3  4218    1
## y_new[11,35]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.5   19.5   23.5  4346    1
## y_new[11,36]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.4   19.5   23.6  4161    1
## y_new[11,37]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.5   19.5   23.5  4393    1
## y_new[11,38]   19.5     0.0  2.1   15.5   19.5   23.6  4572    1
## y_new[11,39]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.5   19.6   23.6  4412    1
## y_new[11,40]   19.5     0.0  2.0   15.6   19.5   23.5  4193    1
## y_new[11,41]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.6   19.6   23.7  4276    1
## y_new[11,42]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.6   19.6   23.7  4615    1
## y_new[11,43]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.5   19.6   23.6  4252    1
## y_new[11,44]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.4   19.6   23.6  4534    1
## y_new[11,45]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.4   19.6   23.7  4469    1
## y_new[11,46]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.6   19.6   23.6  4187    1
## y_new[11,47]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.6   19.6   23.7  4496    1
## y_new[11,48]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.7   19.6   23.6  4248    1
## y_new[11,49]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.4   19.6   23.8  3977    1
## y_new[11,50]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.7   19.6   23.7  4518    1
## y_new[11,51]   19.6     0.0  2.0   15.7   19.6   23.7  4104    1
## y_new[11,52]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.6   19.6   23.7  4187    1
## y_new[11,53]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.3   19.6   23.7  4628    1
## y_new[11,54]   19.7     0.0  2.0   15.7   19.7   23.7  4360    1
## y_new[11,55]   19.7     0.0  2.1   15.7   19.7   23.7  4103    1
## y_new[11,56]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.5   19.6   23.6  4381    1
## y_new[11,57]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.7   19.7   23.6  4445    1
## y_new[11,58]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.7   19.6   23.6  4445    1
## y_new[11,59]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.5   19.6   23.7  3921    1
## y_new[11,60]   19.6     0.0  2.1   15.6   19.6   23.8  4127    1
## y_new[12,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.3  3924    1
## y_new[12,2]     3.1     0.0  1.8   -0.5    3.1    6.6  3881    1
## y_new[12,3]     5.5     0.0  2.0    1.7    5.5    9.4  4344    1
## y_new[12,4]     7.6     0.0  2.0    3.6    7.6   11.5  3507    1
## y_new[12,5]     9.2     0.0  2.0    5.2    9.1   13.2  3922    1
## y_new[12,6]    10.4     0.0  2.0    6.5   10.4   14.3  3841    1
## y_new[12,7]    11.5     0.0  2.0    7.7   11.5   15.4  3960    1
## y_new[12,8]    12.4     0.0  2.0    8.4   12.4   16.3  4357    1
## y_new[12,9]    13.0     0.0  2.0    9.1   13.1   16.8  4534    1
## y_new[12,10]   13.6     0.0  1.9    9.8   13.6   17.5  4235    1
## y_new[12,11]   14.2     0.0  1.9   10.4   14.2   18.0  4347    1
## y_new[12,12]   14.5     0.0  1.9   10.7   14.5   18.3  4251    1
## y_new[12,13]   14.8     0.0  1.9   11.0   14.8   18.5  4444    1
## y_new[12,14]   15.1     0.0  1.9   11.4   15.0   18.7  4161    1
## y_new[12,15]   15.3     0.0  1.9   11.4   15.3   18.9  4401    1
## y_new[12,16]   15.4     0.0  1.9   11.7   15.4   19.1  4057    1
## y_new[12,17]   15.6     0.0  1.9   11.9   15.6   19.3  4500    1
## y_new[12,18]   15.7     0.0  1.9   12.0   15.8   19.4  4024    1
## y_new[12,19]   15.8     0.0  1.9   12.0   15.9   19.5  4331    1
## y_new[12,20]   15.9     0.0  1.9   12.1   15.9   19.7  4638    1
## y_new[12,21]   16.0     0.0  1.9   12.2   16.0   19.7  4018    1
## y_new[12,22]   16.0     0.0  1.9   12.3   16.0   19.8  4412    1
## y_new[12,23]   16.0     0.0  2.0   12.1   16.0   19.9  4455    1
## y_new[12,24]   16.1     0.0  1.9   12.3   16.1   20.0  4048    1
## y_new[12,25]   16.1     0.0  1.9   12.4   16.1   20.0  4361    1
## y_new[12,26]   16.2     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   19.9  4425    1
## y_new[12,27]   16.2     0.0  1.9   12.3   16.3   20.1  4013    1
## y_new[12,28]   16.2     0.0  1.9   12.3   16.2   19.9  3954    1
## y_new[12,29]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.2   20.1  4151    1
## y_new[12,30]   16.2     0.0  1.9   12.4   16.3   20.0  4071    1
## y_new[12,31]   16.3     0.0  1.9   12.6   16.2   20.1  4174    1
## y_new[12,32]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.1  4396    1
## y_new[12,33]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.1  4043    1
## y_new[12,34]   16.3     0.0  1.9   12.5   16.3   20.2  4169    1
## y_new[12,35]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.2  3755    1
## y_new[12,36]   16.3     0.0  1.9   12.4   16.3   20.1  4167    1
## y_new[12,37]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.2  4504    1
## y_new[12,38]   16.3     0.0  1.9   12.5   16.3   20.0  4301    1
## y_new[12,39]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.2  4215    1
## y_new[12,40]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.3  3815    1
## y_new[12,41]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.3  4184    1
## y_new[12,42]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.2  3901    1
## y_new[12,43]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.2  4261    1
## y_new[12,44]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.3   20.3  4071    1
## y_new[12,45]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.0  4104    1
## y_new[12,46]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.4   20.2  4413    1
## y_new[12,47]   16.4     0.0  1.9   12.6   16.4   20.2  4040    1
## y_new[12,48]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.3  4206    1
## y_new[12,49]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.0  4001    1
## y_new[12,50]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.2  4031    1
## y_new[12,51]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.4  4049    1
## y_new[12,52]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.2  4326    1
## y_new[12,53]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.3   16.3   20.3  4279    1
## y_new[12,54]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.4   20.2  4617    1
## y_new[12,55]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.4   20.2  4208    1
## y_new[12,56]   16.4     0.0  1.9   12.6   16.4   20.2  3915    1
## y_new[12,57]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.2  4082    1
## y_new[12,58]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.1  4095    1
## y_new[12,59]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.3  4293    1
## y_new[12,60]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.2  4097    1
## y_new[13,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.4    0.0    3.3  3789    1
## y_new[13,2]     1.0     0.0  1.7   -2.4    1.0    4.5  4061    1
## y_new[13,3]     1.9     0.0  1.8   -1.5    1.9    5.4  4284    1
## y_new[13,4]     2.8     0.0  1.8   -0.9    2.8    6.4  4006    1
## y_new[13,5]     3.5     0.0  1.9    0.0    3.5    7.2  4054    1
## y_new[13,6]     4.2     0.0  1.9    0.4    4.2    7.8  4027    1
## y_new[13,7]     4.8     0.0  1.9    1.2    4.8    8.5  4369    1
## y_new[13,8]     5.4     0.0  1.9    1.8    5.4    9.3  3920    1
## y_new[13,9]     5.9     0.0  1.9    2.2    5.9    9.8  4298    1
## y_new[13,10]    6.4     0.0  1.9    2.5    6.4   10.2  4068    1
## y_new[13,11]    6.8     0.0  1.9    3.1    6.8   10.6  3774    1
## y_new[13,12]    7.2     0.0  1.9    3.4    7.2   10.9  4045    1
## y_new[13,13]    7.5     0.0  1.9    3.7    7.6   11.2  4207    1
## y_new[13,14]    7.8     0.0  2.0    4.0    7.8   11.7  3993    1
## y_new[13,15]    8.1     0.0  1.9    4.4    8.1   12.0  3764    1
## y_new[13,16]    8.4     0.0  1.9    4.7    8.4   12.3  3894    1
## y_new[13,17]    8.7     0.0  1.9    4.9    8.7   12.5  4141    1
## y_new[13,18]    8.9     0.0  2.0    5.0    9.0   12.7  3889    1
## y_new[13,19]    9.2     0.0  1.9    5.5    9.1   13.0  3923    1
## y_new[13,20]    9.3     0.0  1.9    5.5    9.3   13.1  3765    1
## y_new[13,21]    9.5     0.0  1.9    5.6    9.5   13.1  4026    1
## y_new[13,22]    9.6     0.0  1.9    5.8    9.7   13.4  4001    1
## y_new[13,23]    9.8     0.0  1.9    6.1    9.8   13.5  4562    1
## y_new[13,24]    9.9     0.0  1.9    6.0    9.9   13.8  4089    1
## y_new[13,25]   10.1     0.0  1.9    6.2   10.1   13.7  4005    1
## y_new[13,26]   10.2     0.0  2.0    6.4   10.2   14.2  4393    1
## y_new[13,27]   10.3     0.0  2.0    6.4   10.3   14.2  3755    1
## y_new[13,28]   10.4     0.0  1.9    6.6   10.3   14.2  4042    1
## y_new[13,29]   10.4     0.0  1.9    6.5   10.4   14.2  4349    1
## y_new[13,30]   10.5     0.0  1.9    6.6   10.4   14.2  4064    1
## y_new[13,31]   10.6     0.0  1.9    6.9   10.6   14.3  4113    1
## y_new[13,32]   10.7     0.0  2.0    6.8   10.7   14.5  3950    1
## y_new[13,33]   10.8     0.0  2.0    6.9   10.7   14.8  4139    1
## y_new[13,34]   10.8     0.0  2.0    6.9   10.8   14.5  4031    1
## y_new[13,35]   10.8     0.0  2.0    7.0   10.9   14.7  4066    1
## y_new[13,36]   10.9     0.0  2.0    7.0   10.9   14.9  3794    1
## y_new[13,37]   10.9     0.0  2.0    7.1   10.9   14.9  4147    1
## y_new[13,38]   11.0     0.0  2.0    7.1   10.9   14.9  3851    1
## y_new[13,39]   11.1     0.0  2.0    7.3   11.0   15.1  4008    1
## y_new[13,40]   11.1     0.0  2.0    7.2   11.1   15.0  4325    1
## y_new[13,41]   11.1     0.0  2.0    7.1   11.1   15.1  4105    1
## y_new[13,42]   11.1     0.0  2.0    7.1   11.1   15.1  3976    1
## y_new[13,43]   11.2     0.0  2.0    7.3   11.2   15.1  3807    1
## y_new[13,44]   11.3     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.2   15.3  4237    1
## y_new[13,45]   11.2     0.0  2.0    7.3   11.2   15.2  3964    1
## y_new[13,46]   11.3     0.0  2.0    7.2   11.3   15.3  4382    1
## y_new[13,47]   11.3     0.0  2.1    7.0   11.3   15.5  4158    1
## y_new[13,48]   11.3     0.0  2.1    7.3   11.3   15.3  4501    1
## y_new[13,49]   11.3     0.0  2.1    7.1   11.3   15.4  3565    1
## y_new[13,50]   11.4     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.3   15.6  4116    1
## y_new[13,51]   11.3     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.3   15.4  4148    1
## y_new[13,52]   11.4     0.0  2.1    7.4   11.4   15.5  3772    1
## y_new[13,53]   11.4     0.0  2.1    7.3   11.3   15.4  4273    1
## y_new[13,54]   11.4     0.0  2.2    7.0   11.4   15.6  4048    1
## y_new[13,55]   11.4     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.4   15.5  4183    1
## y_new[13,56]   11.4     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.3   15.6  4294    1
## y_new[13,57]   11.4     0.0  2.2    7.2   11.4   15.8  3887    1
## y_new[13,58]   11.5     0.0  2.1    7.3   11.4   15.7  3907    1
## y_new[13,59]   11.5     0.0  2.1    7.4   11.5   15.6  4023    1
## y_new[13,60]   11.5     0.0  2.1    7.2   11.4   15.6  3888    1
## y_new[14,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.3    0.0    3.4  4085    1
## y_new[14,2]     2.4     0.0  1.7   -0.9    2.4    5.8  4048    1
## y_new[14,3]     4.6     0.0  1.8    1.0    4.6    8.1  3868    1
## y_new[14,4]     6.6     0.0  1.9    3.0    6.6   10.3  4087    1
## y_new[14,5]     8.3     0.0  1.9    4.6    8.3   12.0  3965    1
## y_new[14,6]     9.8     0.0  1.9    6.1    9.8   13.5  4164    1
## y_new[14,7]    11.3     0.0  2.0    7.6   11.3   15.2  4106    1
## y_new[14,8]    12.6     0.0  2.0    8.7   12.6   16.4  4094    1
## y_new[14,9]    13.8     0.0  2.0    9.9   13.8   17.7  4257    1
## y_new[14,10]   14.9     0.0  2.0   10.9   14.8   18.8  4269    1
## y_new[14,11]   15.8     0.0  2.0   11.9   15.8   19.9  4041    1
## y_new[14,12]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.8   16.6   20.5  3795    1
## y_new[14,13]   17.5     0.0  2.0   13.6   17.5   21.5  3680    1
## y_new[14,14]   18.2     0.0  2.0   14.2   18.2   22.1  3907    1
## y_new[14,15]   18.8     0.0  2.0   14.9   18.8   22.6  4243    1
## y_new[14,16]   19.4     0.0  1.9   15.6   19.4   23.1  4167    1
## y_new[14,17]   19.8     0.0  1.9   16.1   19.8   23.6  4059    1
## y_new[14,18]   20.3     0.0  1.9   16.6   20.4   23.9  4008    1
## y_new[14,19]   20.7     0.0  1.9   16.9   20.7   24.6  4052    1
## y_new[14,20]   21.1     0.0  1.9   17.2   21.1   24.8  3923    1
## y_new[14,21]   21.5     0.0  1.9   17.8   21.5   25.4  4021    1
## y_new[14,22]   21.8     0.0  1.9   18.1   21.8   25.5  4069    1
## y_new[14,23]   22.1     0.0  1.9   18.4   22.1   25.8  4001    1
## y_new[14,24]   22.4     0.0  1.9   18.5   22.4   26.1  4054    1
## y_new[14,25]   22.6     0.0  1.9   18.8   22.6   26.4  3867    1
## y_new[14,26]   22.8     0.0  2.0   19.1   22.8   26.7  4208    1
## y_new[14,27]   22.9     0.0  1.9   19.1   22.9   26.7  4232    1
## y_new[14,28]   23.2     0.0  2.0   19.2   23.1   26.9  4354    1
## y_new[14,29]   23.3     0.0  1.9   19.4   23.3   27.0  4203    1
## y_new[14,30]   23.4     0.0  2.0   19.6   23.4   27.2  4041    1
## y_new[14,31]   23.6     0.0  2.0   19.7   23.6   27.4  3814    1
## y_new[14,32]   23.7     0.0  1.9   19.9   23.7   27.6  4278    1
## y_new[14,33]   23.8     0.0  2.0   19.9   23.8   27.7  4144    1
## y_new[14,34]   23.9     0.0  2.0   20.0   23.9   27.7  4278    1
## y_new[14,35]   24.0     0.0  2.0   20.2   24.0   27.9  4221    1
## y_new[14,36]   24.1     0.0  2.0   20.1   24.1   28.1  3885    1
## y_new[14,37]   24.1     0.0  2.0   20.0   24.1   28.0  4152    1
## y_new[14,38]   24.2     0.0  2.0   20.4   24.1   28.0  4426    1
## y_new[14,39]   24.3     0.0  2.0   20.3   24.3   28.2  4468    1
## y_new[14,40]   24.3     0.0  2.1   20.1   24.4   28.2  3966    1
## y_new[14,41]   24.4     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.4   28.6  4462    1
## y_new[14,42]   24.4     0.0  2.1   20.3   24.4   28.4  3732    1
## y_new[14,43]   24.5     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.4   28.5  4232    1
## y_new[14,44]   24.5     0.0  2.1   20.2   24.5   28.5  4137    1
## y_new[14,45]   24.5     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.5   28.6  4306    1
## y_new[14,46]   24.5     0.0  2.1   20.5   24.5   28.5  4205    1
## y_new[14,47]   24.6     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.6   28.5  4286    1
## y_new[14,48]   24.6     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.6   28.7  4149    1
## y_new[14,49]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.5   24.6   28.7  4248    1
## y_new[14,50]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.6   24.6   28.9  4425    1
## y_new[14,51]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.5   24.7   29.0  4574    1
## y_new[14,52]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.6   24.7   28.9  3982    1
## y_new[14,53]   24.6     0.0  2.1   20.4   24.7   28.7  3786    1
## y_new[14,54]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.6   24.7   28.9  4666    1
## y_new[14,55]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.7   24.8   29.0  4544    1
## y_new[14,56]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.6   24.7   28.8  3975    1
## y_new[14,57]   24.8     0.0  2.1   20.5   24.8   28.9  3970    1
## y_new[14,58]   24.7     0.0  2.1   20.7   24.7   29.0  4451    1
## y_new[14,59]   24.8     0.0  2.1   20.6   24.7   29.1  4268    1
## y_new[14,60]   24.8     0.0  2.2   20.5   24.8   29.0  4145    1
## y_new[15,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.3    0.0    3.4  3936    1
## y_new[15,2]     2.1     0.0  1.7   -1.3    2.1    5.5  3959    1
## y_new[15,3]     3.8     0.0  1.7    0.4    3.8    7.2  4203    1
## y_new[15,4]     5.3     0.0  1.8    1.7    5.3    8.9  4327    1
## y_new[15,5]     6.7     0.0  1.9    3.0    6.7   10.5  3914    1
## y_new[15,6]     7.9     0.0  2.0    4.1    7.9   11.8  4299    1
## y_new[15,7]     9.0     0.0  1.9    5.2    8.9   12.8  3947    1
## y_new[15,8]     9.8     0.0  1.9    6.1    9.8   13.5  4248    1
## y_new[15,9]    10.6     0.0  2.0    6.7   10.6   14.6  4216    1
## y_new[15,10]   11.4     0.0  1.9    7.5   11.3   15.3  4307    1
## y_new[15,11]   12.0     0.0  1.9    8.1   12.0   15.9  4259    1
## y_new[15,12]   12.5     0.0  1.9    8.8   12.5   16.2  4262    1
## y_new[15,13]   13.0     0.0  1.9    9.0   13.0   16.8  4210    1
## y_new[15,14]   13.4     0.0  1.9    9.6   13.4   17.3  3490    1
## y_new[15,15]   13.8     0.0  1.9   10.0   13.8   17.6  4046    1
## y_new[15,16]   14.1     0.0  1.9   10.3   14.0   17.8  3982    1
## y_new[15,17]   14.4     0.0  1.9   10.7   14.5   18.2  3719    1
## y_new[15,18]   14.7     0.0  1.9   11.0   14.7   18.5  4049    1
## y_new[15,19]   14.9     0.0  1.9   11.1   14.9   18.8  3833    1
## y_new[15,20]   15.1     0.0  1.9   11.3   15.0   18.9  4028    1
## y_new[15,21]   15.3     0.0  1.9   11.4   15.3   19.0  4178    1
## y_new[15,22]   15.4     0.0  1.9   11.6   15.4   19.2  4366    1
## y_new[15,23]   15.6     0.0  1.9   11.8   15.6   19.3  4213    1
## y_new[15,24]   15.7     0.0  1.9   11.8   15.7   19.5  4175    1
## y_new[15,25]   15.8     0.0  1.9   12.0   15.8   19.7  4314    1
## y_new[15,26]   15.8     0.0  2.0   11.9   15.8   19.7  4235    1
## y_new[15,27]   15.9     0.0  1.9   12.1   15.9   19.7  4173    1
## y_new[15,28]   16.1     0.0  1.9   12.1   16.1   19.8  4287    1
## y_new[15,29]   16.1     0.0  2.0   12.3   16.1   20.1  3824    1
## y_new[15,30]   16.2     0.0  1.9   12.5   16.2   19.9  3955    1
## y_new[15,31]   16.2     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.2   20.0  4368    1
## y_new[15,32]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.3   20.2  4432    1
## y_new[15,33]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.3   20.2  4104    1
## y_new[15,34]   16.3     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.4   20.2  4452    1
## y_new[15,35]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.4   20.3  4459    1
## y_new[15,36]   16.4     0.0  2.0   12.4   16.4   20.4  3999    1
## y_new[15,37]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.5   20.4  3613    1
## y_new[15,38]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.5   20.4  4611    1
## y_new[15,39]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.5   20.4  4138    1
## y_new[15,40]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.5   20.4  4444    1
## y_new[15,41]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.6   20.5  3217    1
## y_new[15,42]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.5  3971    1
## y_new[15,43]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.6   20.5  4426    1
## y_new[15,44]   16.5     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.4  4020    1
## y_new[15,45]   16.6     0.0  2.1   12.6   16.6   20.7  4195    1
## y_new[15,46]   16.6     0.0  2.1   12.6   16.5   20.8  4125    1
## y_new[15,47]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.6  4559    1
## y_new[15,48]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.5   16.7   20.6  4245    1
## y_new[15,49]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.6   20.6  4460    1
## y_new[15,50]   16.7     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.7   20.7  4526    1
## y_new[15,51]   16.7     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.7   20.7  4200    1
## y_new[15,52]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.6   20.7  3982    1
## y_new[15,53]   16.6     0.0  2.1   12.6   16.6   20.7  4438    1
## y_new[15,54]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.6   16.6   20.7  4491    1
## y_new[15,55]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.7  4230    1
## y_new[15,56]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.7   16.6   20.6  4604    1
## y_new[15,57]   16.6     0.0  2.1   12.5   16.6   20.8  4280    1
## y_new[15,58]   16.6     0.0  2.1   12.6   16.6   20.8  4424    1
## y_new[15,59]   16.7     0.0  2.1   12.6   16.7   20.8  4306    1
## y_new[15,60]   16.6     0.0  2.0   12.8   16.6   20.6  4458    1
## y_new[16,1]     0.0     0.0  1.7   -3.3    0.0    3.3  4214    1
## y_new[16,2]     6.0     0.0  1.8    2.5    6.0    9.6  3957    1
## y_new[16,3]    10.9     0.0  2.0    7.0   10.9   14.7  4278    1
## y_new[16,4]    14.8     0.0  2.1   10.8   14.8   18.9  4506    1
## y_new[16,5]    18.0     0.0  2.0   13.9   18.0   22.0  4423    1
## y_new[16,6]    20.5     0.0  2.1   16.4   20.6   24.6  4048    1
## y_new[16,7]    22.6     0.0  2.0   18.7   22.6   26.6  4446    1
## y_new[16,8]    24.4     0.0  2.0   20.4   24.4   28.4  3906    1
## y_new[16,9]    25.7     0.0  2.0   21.7   25.8   29.6  4326    1
## y_new[16,10]   26.9     0.0  2.0   22.9   26.9   30.8  4206    1
## y_new[16,11]   27.8     0.0  2.0   23.9   27.8   31.6  4180    1
## y_new[16,12]   28.5     0.0  1.9   24.8   28.5   32.3  3735    1
## y_new[16,13]   29.1     0.0  1.9   25.5   29.1   32.8  4273    1
## y_new[16,14]   29.6     0.0  1.9   25.8   29.7   33.4  4075    1
## y_new[16,15]   30.0     0.0  1.9   26.2   30.0   33.7  4118    1
## y_new[16,16]   30.3     0.0  1.9   26.6   30.3   34.0  4239    1
## y_new[16,17]   30.6     0.0  1.9   26.9   30.6   34.4  3783    1
## y_new[16,18]   30.8     0.0  1.9   27.0   30.9   34.7  4011    1
## y_new[16,19]   31.1     0.0  2.0   27.2   31.1   34.9  4058    1
## y_new[16,20]   31.2     0.0  1.9   27.3   31.2   35.0  4222    1
## y_new[16,21]   31.3     0.0  2.0   27.4   31.3   35.1  4366    1
## y_new[16,22]   31.5     0.0  2.0   27.5   31.5   35.3  4269    1
## y_new[16,23]   31.5     0.0  2.0   27.6   31.5   35.3  3958    1
## y_new[16,24]   31.6     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.6   35.6  3913    1
## y_new[16,25]   31.6     0.0  2.0   27.7   31.6   35.5  4060    1
## y_new[16,26]   31.6     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.6   35.5  4172    1
## y_new[16,27]   31.7     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.7   35.5  4065    1
## y_new[16,28]   31.7     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.7   35.6  4422    1
## y_new[16,29]   31.7     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.7   35.6  4085    1
## y_new[16,30]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.7   35.8  3003    1
## y_new[16,31]   31.8     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.8   35.8  4136    1
## y_new[16,32]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.7  4216    1
## y_new[16,33]   31.8     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.8   35.8  4206    1
## y_new[16,34]   31.8     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.8   35.6  4555    1
## y_new[16,35]   31.8     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.8   35.7  3828    1
## y_new[16,36]   31.9     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.9   35.9  4246    1
## y_new[16,37]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.7  4286    1
## y_new[16,38]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.9  3645    1
## y_new[16,39]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.8  4141    1
## y_new[16,40]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.8  4192    1
## y_new[16,41]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.9   36.0  4268    1
## y_new[16,42]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.9  3906    1
## y_new[16,43]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.8  4214    1
## y_new[16,44]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   35.8  4175    1
## y_new[16,45]   31.8     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.8   35.7  3970    1
## y_new[16,46]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   35.9  4307    1
## y_new[16,47]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   36.0  3909    1
## y_new[16,48]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.8  4486    1
## y_new[16,49]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   35.8  4483    1
## y_new[16,50]   31.9     0.0  2.0   28.1   31.9   35.9  4096    1
## y_new[16,51]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.9  4591    1
## y_new[16,52]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.7  4045    1
## y_new[16,53]   31.9     0.0  2.0   28.0   31.9   35.8  4316    1
## y_new[16,54]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.9   35.8  4513    1
## y_new[16,55]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   35.8  3886    1
## y_new[16,56]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   35.9  4442    1
## y_new[16,57]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.8  4257    1
## y_new[16,58]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.8   31.8   35.8  4555    1
## y_new[16,59]   31.8     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.8   35.6  4135    1
## y_new[16,60]   31.9     0.0  2.0   27.9   31.9   36.0  3969    1
## lp__         -113.6     0.1  5.3 -125.1 -113.1 -104.5  1259    1
## 
## Samples were drawn using NUTS(diag_e) at Tue Dec 26 23:07:53 2023.
## For each parameter, n_eff is a crude measure of effective sample size,
## and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor on split chains (at 
## convergence, Rhat=1).

MCMCで得られたデータを利用して予測分布を可視化する。

ms <- rstan::extract(fit_)
d_est <- data.frame()
for (n in 1:nrow(d)) {
  qua <- apply(ms$y_new[,n,], 2, quantile, prob = c(0.025, 0.5, 0.975))
  d_est <- rbind(d_est, data.frame(PersonID = n, Time = Time_new, t(qua), check.names = FALSE))
}

ggplot(data = d_est, aes(x = Time, y = `50%`)) +
  theme_bw(base_size = 15) +
  facet_wrap(~PersonID) +
  geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = `2.5%`, ymax = `97.5%`), fill = 'black', alpha = 1/5) +
  geom_line(linewidth = 0.5) +
  geom_point(data = d2, aes(x = Time, y = Y), size = 3) +
  labs(x = 'Time (hour)', y = 'Y') +
  scale_x_continuous(breaks = Time, limit = c(0,24)) +
  scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(0,40,10), limit = c(-3,37))